TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,358,557
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,325,137

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,358,557 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Yes21c712,749$149,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149,677.2577152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes5c300,000$13,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,499.992532%8 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick25cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No79c91,813$72,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,280.791,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes10c85,438$8,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,577.28,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes14c81,071$11,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,373.513,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No79c60,578$47,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,849.2829952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c3…600fbacked No79c56,513$44,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,867.644148.8%20 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No79c50,000$39,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,5007941.8%33 W · 46 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Yes20c50,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,999.9820724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes6c47,596$2,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,909.965839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b2c…d7e6backed No80c37,500$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5002045%9 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed No79c30,400$24,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,384.093571.4%25 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf438…9559backed No80c30,000$24,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,00014449.3%71 W · 73 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes10c29,378$2,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,919.774,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fae…4079backed Yes8c23,600$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8886833.8%23 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked No80c22,000$17,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4007238.9%28 W · 44 L-8.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-35.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x22df…f733backed Yes0c21,730$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.731560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Yes3c21,222$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60019529.7%58 W · 137 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x514b…5fa9backed Yes21c20,358$4,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,221.467538.7%29 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x119b…ac3ebacked Yes21c19,048$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0008944.9%40 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aaf…b21abacked Yes16c17,945$2,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,893.973426.5%9 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe65e…b719backed Yes7c17,514$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.8217040%68 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe97…6347backed Yes9c17,444$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,51012958.1%75 W · 54 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Yes20c17,200$3,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,439.997237.5%27 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes15c16,689$2,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,573.5724441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes21c16,666$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.861,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb225…3d54backed Yes21c16,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3609525.3%24 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No80c15,168$12,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,033.64669.6%32 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick69cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf6d…9f2abacked No79c14,998$11,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,149.666536.9%24 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes11c14,731$1,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,571.9665835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b56…715ebacked No79c14,000$11,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,989.957740.3%31 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes19c12,361$2,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,348.521529.9%15 W · 137 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43f0…a0dbbacked Yes8c11,748$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.841457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes5c11,197$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.51705.9%10 W · 160 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb37a…f1b1backed Yes6c10,100$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6063826.3%10 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick30cpaid+132.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91af…9a27backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No79c10,000$7,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10020044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Yes19c10,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90013331.6%42 W · 91 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes20c9,113$1,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,842.842,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14b9…f378backed Yes21c8,716$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,830.366929%20 W · 49 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3286…5aa4backed Yes7c8,452$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600185.6%1 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick16cpaid-89.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04e5…fee7backed No80c8,000$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82cf…3d55backed Yes20c8,000$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.985556.4%31 W · 24 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+30.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa79e…1fb0backed No78c7,284$5,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.461877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No79c7,170$5,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.392,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Yes19c7,086$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,346.3318633.3%62 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Yes21c7,027$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.316030%18 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-29.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x072f…ffddbacked No80c7,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4008450%42 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No79c6,600$5,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3867544%33 W · 42 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes6c6,465$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.8279231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed No80c6,250$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25014055.7%78 W · 62 L+15.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+22.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc36e…12d8backed No79c6,000$4,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2602934.5%10 W · 19 L-5.2wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-45%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0a4d…5f9fbacked Yes9c5,668$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.071540%6 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed Yes21c5,500$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1558845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes6c5,454$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.371,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked No79c5,146$4,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.585863.8%37 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed Yes20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000466.5%3 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-88.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Yes20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+74.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a2a…1fcabacked Yes21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0508048.8%39 W · 41 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a1c…9867backed Yes5c5,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507753.2%41 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Yes1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cbc…a07cbacked No78c5,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.931225%3 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-53.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No80c4,911$3,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.911,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed Yes22c4,884$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.445223.1%12 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa07…d6fabacked Yes5c4,766$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506741.8%28 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Yes21c4,762$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008214.6%12 W · 70 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes6c4,631$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.67642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9786…4c55backed Yes11c4,567$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009549.5%47 W · 48 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aad…e111backed Yes9c4,548$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.844257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6370…e2f4backed Yes22c4,545$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-53%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Yes11c4,509$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x657c…ebc3backed Yes1c4,427$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388726.4%23 W · 64 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f8…64c9backed Yes12c4,315$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023224.1%56 W · 176 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes21c4,150$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b1…83a0backed No79c4,146$3,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.571758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed No79c4,000$3,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.9786452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96f8…2560backed No79c3,797$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.471675%12 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c04…1844backed Yes8c3,750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014425.7%37 W · 107 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Yes20c3,750$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75024626%64 W · 182 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c73…68e7backed No80c3,750$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7502487.5%21 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick72cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed Yes9c3,590$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32929333.8%99 W · 194 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes6c3,500$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.0115127.8%42 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes8c3,472$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.2354917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8812…c488backed Yes3c3,439$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bda…ac9bbacked Yes1c3,211$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.94621.7%10 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ef…1829backed No80c3,125$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6251942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a2…63d5backed No80c3,108$2,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.517946.8%37 W · 42 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ede…4284backed Yes20c3,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60018738%71 W · 116 L+0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes3c3,000$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0539932.6%130 W · 269 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No79c3,000$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63023255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e8…b560backed Yes7c2,976$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013722.6%31 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Yes8c2,921$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.5277433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Yes21c2,814$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009653.1%51 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e60…3badbacked Yes16c2,729$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.068627.9%24 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde76…7d17backed No79c2,530$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.35362.3%33 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7673…fa40backed Yes20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001520%3 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-52.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003435.3%12 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23e…98a4backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004531.1%14 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8d…e33abacked Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-55.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes8c2,442$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.