TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a2a…1fca

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
158
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Weather at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT8048.8%39 W · 41 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,375Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+101.5%+$6,470.39
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,178.47
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$7,012Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$4,297.5
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$349.94
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,637Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,637.27
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,550Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,450
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$391.2
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,664Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$3,127.76
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,350
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$43,761Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$29,254.56
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13,200
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,742Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+122.8%+$2,138.65
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$393.96
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,200
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,859.93
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$140.48
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$564.46
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,055Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,055.22
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35,588Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35,588.11
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12,894Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$17,805.61
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$802Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$431.64
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$7,603Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+156.3%+$11,885.97
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$8,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,000
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,402.32
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,850Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$1,150
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT3743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,086.21
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,307Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,416.07
Athletics vs. San Diego Padresbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,080
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,224
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$221.7
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.7
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlinsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.2
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$166.74
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$50.5
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$547Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$547.21
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.56
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$942Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$942.36
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,008Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,853.3
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$550.66
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,021Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,021.05
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.58
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,018Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,651.37
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$165.58
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,567Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,566.63
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$416.46
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Centurion 2: Arda Azkara vs Khololwam Montsibacked Khololwam Montsi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$774Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$633.3
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$911.77
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Roland Garros WTA: Xiyu Wang vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Xiyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$2,554.05
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Yibing Wubacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Roland Garros WTA: Donna Vekic vs Naomi Osakabacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.48
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.32
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Lulu Sun vs Claire Liubacked Claire Liu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$206.72
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Borna Gojo vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Borna Gojo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,104
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Hugo Dellienbacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$960
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Susan Bandecchi vs Viktoria Hruncakovabacked Susan Bandecchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$647Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$488.1
Madrid Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Madrid Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Maria Sakkaribacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$667Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$343.4
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+62.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$77.46
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$293.48
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,015Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$905.11
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,003Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$1,635.88
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 5 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$248.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$17.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$487.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,707Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,707.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Envy vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$521.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.