MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd21995026aee73d5ffa7da7dc8ad9559586c22a530972c686642d28c872e61cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Cleveland Guardians, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $989,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,032,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $989,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 540 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 300,664$123,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123,272.44 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 139,289$82,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,108.68 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Detroit Tigers | 0c | 101,577$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.6 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 67,990$39,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,576.71 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 54,666$32,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,413.2 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 30,000$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,800 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 25,608$15,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,999.91 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 21,324$12,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,798.54 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 20,288$8,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,289.65 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 19,711$11,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,473.48 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 15,593$7,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,484.68 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 15,563$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314.53 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Detroit Tigers | 41c | 14,976$6,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,108.14 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 14,969$8,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,499.04 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 13,289$6,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,312.39 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Detroit Tigers | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 10,011$4,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,004.48 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Detroit Tigers | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.97 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…31f1backed Detroit Tigers | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.9 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Detroit Tigers | 27c | 9,713$2,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,622.61 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 9,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Detroit Tigers | 41c | 8,675$3,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,556.55 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 8,437$5,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,374.67 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Detroit Tigers | 13c | 7,692$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 68c | 7,471$5,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.71 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 6,667$3,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.95 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers | 41c | 6,482$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680.38 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 6,382$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.91 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cff…eeb8backed Detroit Tigers | 1c | 6,208$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 70 | 10%7 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640.05 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Detroit Tigers | 42c | 5,310$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.15 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 5,302$3,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.06 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…5136backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 4,878$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 4,739$3,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.05 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 4,375$2,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.05 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b88…9856backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 4,310$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.42 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 4,194$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 4,034$2,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.55 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Detroit Tigers | 46c | 3,825$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.15 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 3,762$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.63 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 3,420$2,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.26 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 3,286$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.09 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Detroit Tigers | 45c | 3,281$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.64 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 3,238$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.46 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 3,229$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.68 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 2,646$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.06 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 2,633$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.03 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 2,598$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.06 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Detroit Tigers | 42c | 2,557$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.9 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 2,385$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.52 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Detroit Tigers | 40c | 2,339$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.47 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 2,337$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.02 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 2,212$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.85 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 2,073$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.29 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Detroit Tigers | 58c | 1,935$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.47 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…8292backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,850$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…6c60backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 1,624$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.08 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba12…f522backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 1,538$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.44 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 80c | 1,509$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.8 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 1,500$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.55 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 1,484$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.12 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed6b…8b3cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 1,484$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.47 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…ce58backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 1,470$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.17 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Detroit Tigers | 45c | 1,287$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.82 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 1,274$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.7 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 1,208$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.32 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…06d7backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…2640backed Detroit Tigers | 27c | 1,172$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 1,168$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.45 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 1,100$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 1,075$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.57 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 1,074$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.89 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 1,051$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.93 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Detroit Tigers | 23c | 1,007$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.44 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Cleveland Guardians | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.07 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Detroit Tigers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +339.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 971.78$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 955.05$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.91 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1987…01d9backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 950$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 934.63$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.68 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Detroit Tigers | 46c | 922$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.28 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x485a…a7c3backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 913.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.19 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 900$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 892$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.33 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 889.51$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.51 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 873$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.07 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-4.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.