MLB · resolved market
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfae73a5d5b9af506c9e7cf4c6c0d807e11103c8c81ea12860f47a11ae5fabe1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Cleveland Guardians, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 21,217$10,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,001.84 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 12,569$6,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,960.3 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 9,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 8,497$3,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,201.54 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e71…52d1backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 8,462$4,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,852 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 6,700$3,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,065 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 5,428$2,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.43 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Detroit Tigers | 66c | 4,257$2,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.46 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 3,074$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.81 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 2,505$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.08 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers | 68c | 2,203$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.45 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,963$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.78 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 1,948$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.26 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 1,562$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.73 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 1,312$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 1,174$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.36 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 1,150$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 1,061$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.73 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 1,060$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.65 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Detroit Tigers | 54c | 1,058$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.74 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 1,018$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.34 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Detroit Tigers | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 998.21$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.81 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Detroit Tigers | 66c | 869.66$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…6134backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 809.2$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.32 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 650$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 580.01$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.81 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 457.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.78 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 455.68$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.61 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 347.83$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 342.61$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.6 | 197 | 52.3%103 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 326$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.93 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 254$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.3 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1884…b7a5backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 215.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 577 | 58.6%338 W · 239 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 202.95$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.36 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 163.91$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.04 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 163.64$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6419…0f53backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 150.01$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 148.8$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 122.35$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.34 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 117.27$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 116.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 112.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 109$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 109$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 103$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Detroit Tigers | 55c | 100.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.04 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Detroit Tigers | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 312 | 50%156 W · 156 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 78.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Cleveland Guardians | 29c | 78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 49.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 48.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 44.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…0f05backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 41.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 39.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 36.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 31.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Detroit Tigers | 75c | 31.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6a…cbfbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 30.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x123e…eed4backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 30.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 29.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 29.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…950dbacked Detroit Tigers | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc50…7fdebacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 25.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 24.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 21.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Detroit Tigers | 75c | 20.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Detroit Tigers | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 19.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d3…cf33backed Detroit Tigers | 72c | 19.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec7…ed98backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 18.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Detroit Tigers | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)this page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit TigersCleveland Guardians won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-4.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.