TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe73e…74fe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
194
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST5648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36,970Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$36,970
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40,245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40,245
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$71,203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$71,202.77
Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+112.8%+$33,829.88
Spread: Broncos (-1.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41,880Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+100%+$41,880
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$16,650
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48,848Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$48,848.25
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$113,296Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+110.2%+$124,870.48
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$210,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$210,034.75
Spread: Packers (-1.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28,749Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$28,749
Spread: Falcons (-3.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,439Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$9,439.47
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$96,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$96,500
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$34,054.05
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+33.1%+$5,703.13
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$51,138.46
Spread: Bills (-3.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$7,759Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+85.2%+$6,610.01
Lions vs. Vikings: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$66,810Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$66,810.42
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$90,258Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+108.6%+$97,988.64
Jets vs. Saints: O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10,618Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10,618
Chiefs vs. Titans: O/U 37.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14,475Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$14,474.62
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19,204Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$19,204
Chargers vs. Cowboysbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46,975Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+106.5%+$50,014.53
Bengals vs. Dolphins: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10,740Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9,148.89
Spread: Seahawks (-1.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$162,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$162,200
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12,241Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$12,241.44
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT4252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$7,322Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,322.04
Spread: BYU Cougars (-2.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,747Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$3,600
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-5.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12,850
Weber State Wildcats vs. Montana State Bobcats: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$8,670Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$8,670
Weber State Wildcats vs. Montana State Bobcats: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$6,350
Houston Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Utah State Aggies vs. Colorado State Ramsbacked Colorado State Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$5,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$5,002
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+100%+$10,000
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. DePaul Blue Demonsbacked DePaul Blue Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12,417Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8,628.76
Spread: William & Mary Tribe (-13.5)backed North Carolina A&T Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10,001Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+108.3%+$10,834.18
Spread: Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens (-2.5)backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25,028Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$25,028.12
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Little Rock Trojans: O/U 133.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$25,000
Charleston Cougars vs. Towson Tigers: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+122.2%+$1,527.78
Spread: Northern Kentucky Norse (-10.5)backed Detroit Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$29,880
Spread: BYU Cougars (-12.5)backed BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$2,200
Iona Gaels vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+86.7%+$23,923.41
Spread: BYU Cougars (-13.5)backed BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15,315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15,315
Wyoming Cowboys vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25,007Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+102.6%+$25,663.76
Spread: California-San Diego Tritons (-10.5)backed UC Riverside Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,043Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+99.3%+$5,006.5
Idaho State Bengals vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacks: O/U 140.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+96.1%+$4,804.29
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-5.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$29,240
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-6.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12,300
Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. East Texas A&M Lions: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$692Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+86.4%+$598.31
Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. East Texas A&M Lions: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+98%+$149.4
Houston Christian Huskies vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks: O/U 138.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,386Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+101.7%+$4,459.47
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST3951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18,461.54
Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18,266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$18,266
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100,026
Spread: Mississippi State (-2.5)backed Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32,493Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$32,493.1
Spread: Mississippi State (-3.5)backed Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55,559Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$55,559.28
Wake Forest vs. Mississippi Statebacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$74,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$74,799.98
Spread: SMU Mustangs (-1.5)backed SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18,870Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$18,130
Navy vs. Cincinnatibacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$9,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$9,350
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$106,658Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+46.9%+$49,969.44
Spread: Oregon (-2.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+67.1%+$577
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$54,028Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+45.8%+$24,747.46
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000.83
Spread: Duke (-3.5)backed Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59,400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+85.2%+$50,599.99
Arizona State vs. Dukebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$3,500
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+150%+$30,000
Virginia vs. Missouribacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+163.2%+$65,263.16
Spread: Missouri (-4.5)backed Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10,090Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9,313.85
Spread: Missouri (-4.5)backed Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+88.7%+$4,434.53
Spread: North Texas (-7.5)backed North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$207
North Texas vs. San Diego State: O/U 53.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$9,966Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+85.2%+$8,489.95
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$7,833Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+83.7%+$6,559.25
California vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52,175Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+95.8%+$50,000.91
Spread: Louisville (-11.5)backed Toledo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51,010Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+102.1%+$52,105.74
Toledo vs. Louisvillebacked Toledo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10,000
Spread: Texas A&M (-3.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25,866Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+78.6%+$20,323.15
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10,461Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,461
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17,667Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,667.5
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,227Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$4,635.59
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5,571.43
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26,091Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24,083.55
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14,816Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11,640.77
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11,562Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$9,910.74
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$6,084Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,083.96
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$4,635.81
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,500
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$9,757Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,757.41
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15,608Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$9,999.91
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,001.84
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$301,975Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$301,975
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$72,594Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+94.4%+$68,519.24
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$205,290Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$148,658.28
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$86,317Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$86,316.85
Angels vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$234,479Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+42.8%+$100,350.14
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15,471Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+86.4%+$13,361.77
All 19 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39,088Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$39,087.54
Rangers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12,225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12,225
Senators vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$9,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$9,000
Stars vs. Sharksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$47,182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$47,181.7
Capitals vs. Blackhawksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$78,461Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+76%+$59,621.27
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$57,743Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$57,743.41
Canucks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$68,992Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+72.4%+$49,959.48
Avalanche vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26,656Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+103.7%+$27,640.18
Red Wings vs. Hurricanesbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$25,020
Utah vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34,200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+88.7%+$30,328.3
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$56,004.95
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50,097Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$50,097.35
Senators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$65,177Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$65,177.25
Senators vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25,660Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$24,653.73
Panthers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$91,990Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$91,990
Kings vs. Utahbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$50,441.18
Utah vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$72,771Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+79.8%+$58,070.07
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+46.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,903Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$5,893.36
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15,215Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15,836.43
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$41,125.21
1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17,677Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+99%+$17,506.47
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$8,599Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$9,315.64
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24,749Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+102.8%+$25,448.58
Clippers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35,000
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$50,769.23
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,780Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$2,184.29
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70,030Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+107.2%+$75,053.01
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$41,899Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$41,898.66
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$54,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$54,030
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$21,450
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+104.1%+$25,500
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10,301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,300.96
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60,473Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60,473.39
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29,333Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$40,506.81
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,500
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$8,057Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$8,056.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+37.7%+$5,662.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37,418Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$37,417.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.