TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Virginia vs. Missouri

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Virginiaof Virginia, Missouri
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$589,502
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$592,368

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $589,502 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x33f6…e0debacked Missouri62c300,000$186,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185,999.91540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Virginia38c147,577$56,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,497.4932745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe73e…74febacked Virginia38c105,263$40,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,263.163951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Virginia38c46,577$17,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,943.56046.7%28 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Missouri11c39,832$4,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,215.1426244.3%116 W · 146 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Missouri65c38,695$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00019362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Virginia49c20,084$9,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,330.9362843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Missouri63c20,000$12,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,60027246%125 W · 147 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Virginia48c17,306$8,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,960.4558850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Virginia37c16,952$6,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,679.4516234%55 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Virginia38c7,896$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,895.873855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Missouri63c7,462$4,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,701.0611849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b2…b7b1backed Virginia34c6,598$2,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,354.851844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Virginia51c5,887$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,886.251520%3 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-58.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Missouri64c5,219$3,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,335.6186243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Virginia37c5,000$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,149.9912746.5%59 W · 68 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Missouri27c4,717$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.939124.2%22 W · 69 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-48.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Virginia37c4,662$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,937.0652449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Missouri62c4,000$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4802152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcab…b842backed Missouri6c3,986$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf569…36a6backed Missouri63c3,670$2,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,312.11050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Virginia38c3,500$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,17019043.2%82 W · 108 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Virginia38c3,390$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,111.8448546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Virginia36c2,820$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,805.0830949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Missouri63c2,808$1,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.274746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Virginia35c2,692$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.528749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Missouri63c2,662$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.8839954.1%216 W · 183 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf642…0c19backed Virginia38c2,513$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,558.165147.1%24 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Missouri62c2,500$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5509051.1%46 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Virginia38c2,499$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.421741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Virginia36c2,457$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,563.712,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c0…69d0backed Virginia36c2,393$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.15742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Virginia54c2,172$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.524833.3%16 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Missouri63c2,070$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.415751%80 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Virginia37c2,031$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.539457.4%54 W · 40 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Missouri52c1,776$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.5840244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Virginia35c1,700$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,09825629.3%75 W · 181 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6911…947cbacked Virginia31c1,614$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.423231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Virginia73c1,568$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.3163243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65d4…4e71backed Missouri64c1,538$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.453265.6%21 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Missouri1c1,360$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.62370.8%2 W · 235 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-98.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Virginia33c1,314$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.9311221.4%24 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Virginia37c1,263$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.217830.8%24 W · 54 L-8.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Virginia67c1,148$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.4352641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd0…190abacked Missouri9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe779…335ebacked Missouri63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6301060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Missouri1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1090%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Virginia36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64065945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Virginia29c962.55$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.0313845.7%63 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Missouri30c860$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.192857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4335…4399backed Missouri36c838.03$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4cf…2d96backed Virginia38c789.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.472352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…604ebacked Virginia71c788.7$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.235556.4%31 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Virginia62c778.47$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.7812346.3%57 W · 66 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Missouri63c709.99$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.4250358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked Missouri63c649.89$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.583743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Virginia37c599.99$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.993138.7%12 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Virginia38c597.21$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.0438450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Missouri62c564$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.683537.1%13 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Virginia38c514.3$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.39053.3%48 W · 42 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfa1…c03bbacked Missouri40c504.39$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Virginia38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3103132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Missouri63c499.98$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.994643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Virginia34c494.63$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.734736.2%17 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Virginia45c491.87$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.7220553.7%110 W · 95 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Virginia72c429.96$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.037443.2%32 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Missouri61c427.44$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.744643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30ad…6a69backed Virginia37c403.24$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.632657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+30.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1ed…32d3backed Virginia40c403.18$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.22540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Missouri63c400$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25213444%59 W · 75 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf6…d7f7backed Missouri25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Virginia34c399.84$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.345238.5%20 W · 32 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Virginia35c396$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.421644.9%97 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Missouri31c389.9$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1208043.8%35 W · 45 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e0e…3311backed Missouri64c382.81$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Virginia54c380.9$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.7155350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Virginia72c374.99$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.42650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Virginia38c368.93$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.6626846.3%124 W · 144 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc954…642fbacked Missouri73c349.98$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.481070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d84…aa68backed Virginia37c337.48$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.612653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Missouri9c334.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Virginia50c333.06$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.06955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick35cpaid+34.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72db…58b9backed Missouri8c320.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Virginia58c318.65$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.1710850.9%55 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Missouri63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004250%21 W · 21 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+23.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf527…366bbacked Virginia42c311.43$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.231435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Virginia36c300$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.87254.2%39 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe490…5a00backed Missouri63c300$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1892441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Virginia68c300$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.51650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Missouri63c299.99$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.993354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Missouri66c293.98$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.4954243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf673…a9a3backed Virginia74c285.71$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.291573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ad…fdcebacked Virginia38c267.12$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.742254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Virginia37c250$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.514055.7%78 W · 62 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Missouri63c238.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Virginia40c236.3$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.691442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b2…9ac1backed Virginia59c225.66$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.87250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Virginia38c220$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.41136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Virginia73c215$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.356358.7%37 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Virginia36c204.02$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.5728440.8%116 W · 168 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.