TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2e0e…3311

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Earnings, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Earnings at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$143
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.71
Chicago White Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$55.98
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.27
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$29.95
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+51.6%+$25.82
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+180.9%+$90.45
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$17.97
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the NL Central Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.01
Cardinals vs. Piratesbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$187
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Steelers vs. Bearsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$94
Spread: Ravens (-7.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$72.06
Ravens vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Titans vs. Coltsbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Buccaneers (-5.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$56
Cowboys vs. Broncos: O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Dolphins vs. Falconsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$147.3
All 12 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-77.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+126.3%+$442.1
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-4.0wins-0.40per pick50cpaid-77.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+121.3%+$107.86
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Raptors vs. Mavericksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Pacers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Hornets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Heat vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Red Wings vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Blues vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
All 3 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Will Boeing (BA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$250.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.