MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x967db22a26c04a0b77f7aff45953b537bee0777b0be360a106e4dd7320871b4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 14,291$6,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,976.37 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 49c | 7,101$3,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,479.25 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Over | 53c | 5,031$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,364.49 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 49c | 4,918$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.55 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 51c | 4,647$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276.85 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 47c | 3,250$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.5 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Over | 52c | 2,019$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.82 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Under | 49c | 999.97$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 51c | 640$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.6 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Under | 49c | 634.03$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.67 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Over | 50c | 619.02$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 49c | 594$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.06 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb78…cff7backed Over | 53c | 569.18$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 46c | 496.21$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.55 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 47c | 469.13$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.49 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 368.97$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.42 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Under | 50c | 360$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6d…e289backed Over | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 80c | 225$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Over | 52c | 213.46$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…92bebacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 61c | 189$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.07 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 52c | 169$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe96…94d5backed Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Over | 51c | 137.1$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.18 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Under | 49c | 134$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.66 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c90…aa32backed Under | 50c | 119.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72cb…542ebacked Over | 52c | 118$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…26eabacked Under | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0e…3311backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x382b…2c5abacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba9…2bebbacked Over | 46c | 95.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Under | 38c | 74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 51c | 60.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 258 | 54.3%140 W · 118 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…012cbacked Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 72c | 59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…6e07backed Over | 52c | 52.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb9…2335backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Under | 54c | 46.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f5…009bbacked Under | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93b8…aec0backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb28…76f2backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fc…1e14backed Under | 42c | 31.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Over | 51c | 28.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb9…692cbacked Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x855b…0eb6backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5this page
- Dodgers vs. Blue JaysBlue Jays won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.