TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c6d…e289

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: College Football, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 54 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipeibacked South Korea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,551Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,551.14
Will Aaron Judge win the 2025 AL MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+37%+$27
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$230
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+78.6%+$235.71
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+330.9%+$1,409.72
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+51.4%+$41.13
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+124.3%+$184.95
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$408.56
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$918Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$917.83
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$418.06
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$108
Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$9
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+100.9%+$37.44
Jets vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
49ers vs. Texansbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Giants vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
All 5 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+49.3%+$138.14
LoL: ZSM vs LGD Gaming (BO3)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+29.9%+$46
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Heretics (BO5)backed Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+25%+$9
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Flamesbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$738Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+32.9%+$242.77
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$50.98
Kings vs. Canadiensbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+100%+$19.61
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$35.46
Heat vs. Clippersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
All 3 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-57%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio vs. Western Michiganbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+100%+$15.69
Miami vs. Florida Statebacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$92.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Aurora (BO3)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$225
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.