MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0045a71086a7e88ec167065ac653197c921be27b00cc0332210bed2c9c4216be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 50c | 68,252$33,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,256.91 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Over | 50c | 39,218$19,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,609 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 49c | 11,921$5,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,862.15 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 57c | 8,952$5,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,121.39 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.17 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Under | 51c | 4,737$2,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,321.14 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Over | 49c | 4,308$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.06 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 51c | 3,270$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.3 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Over | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Over | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 1c | 1,026$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.74 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +339.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcb…08fbbacked Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5d…fe0fbacked Over | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 19cpaid | +181.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 469.83$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.63 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6d…e289backed Over | 42c | 381.63$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb52…3a31backed Over | 49c | 354.88$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 342$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.92 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 49c | 169$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.81 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb78…cff7backed Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Under | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Over | 45c | 92.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…4d6cbacked Under | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…06f9backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 258 | 54.3%140 W · 118 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…35f8backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 45c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1b…f9c1backed Over | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb9…692cbacked Over | 53c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…9218backed Over | 56c | 35.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21aa…aa43backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5this page
- Dodgers vs. Blue JaysDodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.