TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9e62…06f9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
223
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST11844.1%52 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 118 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Clippersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+44.2%+$8.84
Magic vs. Spursbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Jazz vs. Raptorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nets vs. Pistonsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Kings vs. Wizardsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+154.1%+$30.81
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Mavericks vs. Rocketsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. 76ersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Trail Blazers vs. Knicksbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Kings vs. Celticsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 118 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST7248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Kings vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Oilers vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Blues vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Blue Jackets vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Rangers vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Kraken vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Islanders vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Devils vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Capitals vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Flames vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+92.7%+$19.58
Oilers vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Red Wings vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Golden Knights vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Canucks vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Ducks vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Jets vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.38
Sharks vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Flames vs. Blues: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Stars vs. Senators: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Capitals vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Kings vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Maple Leafs vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Panthers vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+201.4%+$133.84
Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$35
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$76
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$78.06
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+45.6%+$63.17
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$15.84
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$11.95
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs PSG Talon (BO3)backed PSG Talon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+23.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Commanders vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Packers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+84.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Equifax Inc. (EFX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+25%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$27.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.