NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8229c6cc272a7e7f7e8c3845b9714f5c322ddc295b6e4eb7bb8f89fd4b4c1275

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Grizzlies
Resolved: Feb 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,009,008
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,108,234

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,009,008 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 727 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb8e6…d504backed Grizzlies	20c	500,000$100,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99,999.97	210	57.1%120 W · 90 L	+20.3wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Grizzlies	25c	420,826$107,015 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107,015.46	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Timberwolves	76c	368,096$280,501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87,595.56	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d89…b02cbacked Timberwolves	80c	244,400$195,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48,879.9	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+3.8wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Timberwolves	76c	76,849$58,106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,743.33	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves	80c	62,499$49,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,499.86	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves	79c	61,287$48,382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,905.44	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Timberwolves	80c	50,000$40,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,000	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Timberwolves	73c	50,000$36,627 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,372.42	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Timberwolves	75c	40,789$30,652 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,137.16	363	59.8%217 W · 146 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Grizzlies	8c	39,624$3,139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,138.51	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Grizzlies	0c	35,141$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.83	279	17.9%50 W · 229 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Grizzlies	27c	30,000$7,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,950	354	50.8%180 W · 174 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Timberwolves	80c	25,000$20,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,000	314	45.2%142 W · 172 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2917…be8fbacked Grizzlies	19c	21,260$4,039 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,039.38	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-3.4wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-56%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x03a9…37babacked Timberwolves	76c	20,506$15,584 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,921.36	105	47.6%50 W · 55 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Grizzlies	26c	19,968$5,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,229.55	553	46.8%259 W · 294 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Timberwolves	75c	19,000$14,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,720	208	49.5%103 W · 105 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Grizzlies	19c	17,765$3,375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,375.26	293	51.5%151 W · 142 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbab7…bc7cbacked Timberwolves	73c	16,800$12,264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,536	90	54.4%49 W · 41 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c9…cd97backed Grizzlies	27c	16,800$4,536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,535.93	86	40.7%35 W · 51 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Timberwolves	76c	16,752$12,732 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,020.53	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Grizzlies	1c	15,672$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.47	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Grizzlies	4c	15,522$656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$656.16	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Grizzlies	22c	15,000$3,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,349.96	197	51.8%102 W · 95 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Timberwolves	77c	14,907$11,479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,428.71	346	54%187 W · 159 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Timberwolves	77c	14,382$11,111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,271.09	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Grizzlies	19c	13,016$2,523 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,522.97	488	45.3%221 W · 267 L	+18.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x713d…53a9backed Grizzlies	25c	12,785$3,144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,144.1	181	51.4%93 W · 88 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves	78c	11,880$9,325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,554.58	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies	14c	11,357$1,582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,581.76	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Grizzlies	22c	11,059$2,454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,453.61	399	58.4%233 W · 166 L	+19.6wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies	19c	10,868$2,078 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,077.75	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Grizzlies	20c	10,258$2,077 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,076.84	214	40.7%87 W · 127 L	-16.2wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c15…35aebacked Grizzlies	21c	10,000$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,100	102	36.3%37 W · 65 L	-8.6wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-25%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Timberwolves	80c	10,000$8,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	152	47.4%72 W · 80 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Grizzlies	18c	9,999$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,799.82	142	43%61 W · 81 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Timberwolves	78c	9,667$7,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,126.74	146	63.7%93 W · 53 L	+11.6wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Grizzlies	19c	8,100$1,536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,535.91	240	45.4%109 W · 131 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Grizzlies	20c	7,500$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	375	39.5%148 W · 227 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12fd…90c0backed Grizzlies	20c	7,004$1,401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400.75	284	39.8%113 W · 171 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies	9c	6,976$644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$643.58	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35bd…1ecfbacked Timberwolves	73c	6,800$4,964 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,836	149	45.6%68 W · 81 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c28…7ba5backed Grizzlies	26c	6,799$1,768 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,767.74	131	48.9%64 W · 67 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1c0…427bbacked Timberwolves	78c	6,591$5,144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,446.97	184	46.2%85 W · 99 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Timberwolves	72c	6,103$4,394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,708.94	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked Timberwolves	78c	6,000$4,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,320	35	65.7%23 W · 12 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	61cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Timberwolves	79c	6,000$4,730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,270	142	45.1%64 W · 78 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Grizzlies	27c	5,188$1,381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,380.88	910	50.9%463 W · 447 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies	26c	5,100$1,344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,344	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b0d…9828backed Grizzlies	16c	5,033$788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$788	52	38.5%20 W · 32 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Timberwolves	77c	5,000$3,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,150	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f62…65d8backed Grizzlies	20c	5,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	138	36.2%50 W · 88 L	-7.3wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4264…007cbacked Timberwolves	74c	4,900$3,626 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,274	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+2.2wins	+0.16per pick	48cpaid	+28%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves	77c	4,852$3,713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,139.58	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Timberwolves	71c	4,510$3,222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,288.17	355	47.3%168 W · 187 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x927a…f706backed Grizzlies	2c	4,339$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.5	241	39%94 W · 147 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a76…a46fbacked Timberwolves	74c	4,276$3,165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,111.88	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.16per pick	42cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14cc…7c02backed Timberwolves	76c	4,041$3,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$969.94	138	42.8%59 W · 79 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Timberwolves	75c	4,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Timberwolves	80c	4,000$3,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	320	51.9%166 W · 154 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87f6…f078backed Grizzlies	20c	4,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Grizzlies	27c	4,000$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7435…85dfbacked Grizzlies	26c	4,000$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,039.98	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.23per pick	40cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Grizzlies	18c	3,878$687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$687.3	489	56.4%276 W · 213 L	+31.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Timberwolves	77c	3,749$2,887 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$862.27	286	49.7%142 W · 144 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Grizzlies	27c	3,704$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	400	41.5%166 W · 234 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Timberwolves	76c	3,524$2,672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$851.76	287	42.9%123 W · 164 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce45…9638backed Grizzlies	26c	3,500$910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$909.98	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d0…68d6backed Timberwolves	78c	3,446$2,688 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$758.15	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…a031backed Grizzlies	1c	3,173$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Timberwolves	77c	3,136$2,404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$732.26	206	51%105 W · 101 L	+7.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Timberwolves	80c	3,000$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	768	50.3%386 W · 382 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Grizzlies	20c	3,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	466	32.6%152 W · 314 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee03…4963backed Timberwolves	80c	3,000$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+2.0wins	+0.14per pick	60cpaid	+15%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Grizzlies	1c	3,000$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies	9c	2,665$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.24	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdd7…3d25backed Timberwolves	74c	2,600$1,924 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$676	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e1e…bca3backed Timberwolves	73c	2,600$1,898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$702	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0eaa…c090backed Grizzlies	27c	2,590$699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.3	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-24%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Grizzlies	19c	2,500$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Grizzlies	17c	2,480$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.82	288	42.7%123 W · 165 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Grizzlies	14c	2,397$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.64	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0dcd…c3d4backed Timberwolves	73c	2,386$1,742 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$644.22	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+3.2wins	+0.17per pick	46cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd12c…ed3dbacked Grizzlies	27c	2,375$641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$641.23	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9de…c026backed Grizzlies	20c	2,270$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Grizzlies	20c	2,250$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	-5.6wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5f51…3f2fbacked Grizzlies	18c	2,250$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42f3…1e83backed Grizzlies	1c	2,226$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	117	13.7%16 W · 101 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Timberwolves	71c	2,128$1,511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$617.21	618	51.6%319 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c0d…a667backed Timberwolves	73c	2,097$1,531 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$566.19	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.5wins	+0.20per pick	50cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5aec…7d3cbacked Timberwolves	73c	2,049$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$548.71	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Grizzlies	26c	2,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	315	38.1%120 W · 195 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda03…bdc7backed Grizzlies	19c	2,000$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.8wins	+0.18per pick	52cpaid	+31%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Grizzlies	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	420	0.7%3 W · 417 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-52%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c49…dd2dbacked Grizzlies	26c	2,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.99	200	48%96 W · 104 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb62…a903backed Grizzlies	26c	1,922$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.74	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Grizzlies	19c	1,898$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.53	274	24.5%67 W · 207 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Grizzlies	1c	1,879$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.81	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Grizzlies	19c	1,854$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.25	623	47.7%297 W · 326 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesthis page
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
Cedric Coward: Points O/U 13.5No won
Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Julius Randle: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Timberwolves won
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event