NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x947708f70baad12213957f789ac175f65233a888eea48f5ced40a3cfd74432e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf699…14adbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 9,643$4,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,628.68 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Timberwolves | 59c | 8,793$5,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,630.82 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a01…9547backed Timberwolves | 53c | 5,926$3,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Grizzlies | 38c | 5,369$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves | 62c | 5,222$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.04 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Grizzlies | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76b9…12e4backed Timberwolves | 52c | 4,141$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.68 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…5266backed Timberwolves | 52c | 4,104$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.92 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Timberwolves | 49c | 4,041$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.91 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa855…ccf7backed Grizzlies | 47c | 3,900$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Grizzlies | 51c | 3,748$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.17 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Timberwolves | 60c | 3,609$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.78 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Timberwolves | 52c | 3,526$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.52 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies | 47c | 2,902$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.76 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,857$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 38c | 2,690$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Grizzlies | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd248…3b58backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cb…4d21backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,040$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.6 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1272…8503backed Grizzlies | 47c | 2,026$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Grizzlies | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 1,631$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.48 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd39…234fbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 1,400$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,387$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.89 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,230$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.28 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Timberwolves | 53c | 948.32$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.32 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Grizzlies | 48c | 862.36$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.93 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed Timberwolves | 61c | 754.7$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.74 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 640$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.16 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 639$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.33 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Grizzlies | 26c | 588.8$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.51 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 554.99$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.4 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked Grizzlies | 42c | 534.98$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.39 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies | 45c | 507.5$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.38 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 481.53$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.45 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies | 11c | 480.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 479.46$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.77 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe711…3dd2backed Timberwolves | 64c | 470.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.38 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Grizzlies | 48c | 436.64$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.48 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Grizzlies | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Timberwolves | 77c | 391.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.47 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Grizzlies | 36c | 371.06$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.58 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Grizzlies | 50c | 331.75$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.88 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Timberwolves | 62c | 317.73$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.51 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Timberwolves | 56c | 284.92$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.42 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…0a1abacked Timberwolves | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Grizzlies | 46c | 273.91$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Grizzlies | 44c | 256.36$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.59 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Timberwolves | 55c | 238.53$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.34 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Grizzlies | 46c | 210.68$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.91 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 206.79$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.26 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Grizzlies | 44c | 204.45$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Grizzlies | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Grizzlies | 41c | 193.85$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.48 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f32…483dbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Grizzlies | 38c | 184.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 250 | 56.8%142 W · 108 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Grizzlies | 41c | 160.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c63…b90dbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 157.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.87 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Grizzlies | 35c | 154.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 147.32$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies | 47c | 134.75$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.76 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Grizzlies | 37c | 133$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 116.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Timberwolves | 71c | 111.47$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc244…c06fbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Grizzlies | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Grizzlies | 11c | 93.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Timberwolves | 53c | 86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Grizzlies | 49c | 85.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Grizzlies | 37c | 73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Timberwolves | 55c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Grizzlies | 37c | 63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Timberwolves | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba35…92bdbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 259 | 30.5%79 W · 180 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Grizzlies | 49c | 59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Grizzlies | 45c | 59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Timberwolves | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Grizzlies | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Timberwolves | 59c | 45.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39ca…7f97backed Timberwolves | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d9…e3e6backed Timberwolves | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Grizzlies | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed Timberwolves | 63c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 36.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Timberwolves | 70c | 34.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Timberwolves | 63c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Timberwolves | 63c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Grizzlies | 40c | 30.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Timberwolves | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 28.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Timberwolves | 63c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98a4…eeaabacked Timberwolves | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…5602backed Timberwolves | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Timberwolves | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Timberwolves | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Timberwolves | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)this page
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Cedric Coward: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. GrizzliesTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.