NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27719fa3cc40ea8eb8b50d6909d883fd8d9c3918ece760dcc56e1f401d67ba1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $244,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $246,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 52c | 142,005$73,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,162.48 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 48c | 41,458$19,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,900 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Over | 52c | 40,000$20,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,399.99 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 48c | 39,814$19,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,110.72 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 24,888$11,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,987.74 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Under | 49c | 15,610$7,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,592.8 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Under | 48c | 13,974$6,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,736 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 48c | 11,550$5,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,544 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 49c | 10,494$5,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,162.76 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 8,604$4,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,362.51 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 52c | 6,262$3,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,005.76 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7973…34d4backed Under | 48c | 5,873$2,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 51c | 4,808$2,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.6 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 48c | 4,270$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.7 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 4,202$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.37 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Under | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 48c | 3,400$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 48c | 2,798$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.04 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 2,599$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.52 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 48c | 2,583$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 2,140$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.01 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 61c | 2,008$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 48c | 1,875$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 51c | 1,244$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.5 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 1,200$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Under | 51c | 1,165$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 51c | 1,097$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.53 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 1,086$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.28 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.71 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Under | 48c | 860.42$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 49c | 643$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.12 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 59c | 640.04$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.78 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 50c | 620$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 43c | 565.25$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.62 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 78c | 442$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.76 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 61c | 427.12$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.81 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 24c | 320$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed Under | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 49c | 205.18$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.54 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 51c | 196.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 51c | 195.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.39 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Under | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 49c | 147$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 48c | 142.15$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.23 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc02e…7d05backed Over | 51c | 133.33$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 126.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.49 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 121.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 49c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 45c | 113.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…829bbacked Under | 43c | 109$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 70c | 109$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e65…701cbacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Over | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a07…9e1abacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Under | 11c | 95.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…2be7backed Over | 39c | 93.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 51c | 91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked Under | 51c | 90.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Over | 51c | 72.65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 52c | 62.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d6…a56abacked Under | 48c | 61.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c2…d3ddbacked Under | 48c | 60.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39ff…4d30backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd125…f654backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 58c | 56.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 400 | 48.3%193 W · 207 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…aa08backed Under | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…c031backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6405…bb94backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225f…8934backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c61…4742backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…f54cbacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7081…2d9cbacked Under | 56c | 48.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…9501backed Over | 51c | 47.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 46c | 46.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f9…46f1backed Over | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5d…76b0backed Under | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -72%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…569fbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…3bfbbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 196 | 49%96 W · 100 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b6…3038backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b6…051ebacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…17f0backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c90…9cffbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed Under | 52c | 38.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5this page
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Cedric Coward: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. GrizzliesTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.