TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$244,524
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$246,489

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,524 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Over52c142,005$73,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,162.4820055%110 W · 90 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under48c41,458$19,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,90044352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee17…b46ebacked Over52c40,000$20,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,399.994257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under48c39,814$19,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,110.722,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c24,888$11,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,987.749,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under49c15,610$7,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,592.824045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Under48c13,974$6,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,73624450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under48c11,550$5,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,54424053.8%129 W · 111 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under49c10,494$5,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,162.7637747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80029055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c8,604$4,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,362.518,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over52c6,262$3,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,005.7658449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7973…34d4backed Under48c5,873$2,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8195437%20 W · 34 L-6.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under51c4,808$2,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,434.63,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under48c4,270$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,049.742648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c4,202$2,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,031.374,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb48f…d015backed Under48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00012454.8%68 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under48c3,400$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,63233945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41037944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under48c2,798$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.041,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c2,599$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.523,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under48c2,583$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24047856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c2,140$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.012,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Under48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013041.5%54 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under61c2,008$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2311,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00017551.4%90 W · 85 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under48c1,875$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over51c1,244$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.53,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c1,200$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6084,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Under51c1,165$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010048%48 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over51c1,097$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.531,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c1,086$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.286,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c1,050$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.715,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51061740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49040947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67cc…942fbacked Under48c860.42$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4134845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under49c643$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.122,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under59c640.04$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.7862347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under50c620$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3101,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009843.9%43 W · 55 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over43c565.25$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.623,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under78c442$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.762,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under61c427.12$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.813,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under24c320$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.81,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee4f…c0f0backed Under48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506750.7%34 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Under49c205.18$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5443244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9859144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under51c196.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0836450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over51c195.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.3946346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c1c…b4f1backed Under51c156.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804252.4%22 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under49c147$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.031,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under48c142.15$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2366646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc02e…7d05backed Over51c133.33$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c126.75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.494,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under47c121.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.193,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under49c120$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.254549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Under50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6055533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under45c113.38$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.022,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c10…829bbacked Under43c109$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8710270.6%72 W · 30 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Under70c109$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.731144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e65…701cbacked Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507038.6%27 W · 43 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x70b2…1950backed Over51c101.96$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.968357.8%48 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Under65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6558754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a07…9e1abacked Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Under11c95.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.752449.4%23 W · 221 L-27.5wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-72.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed Over39c93.75$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.753548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Under51c91$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4154351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3746…a99fbacked Under51c90.19$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.641442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Over51c72.65$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.659958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over52c62.61$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0576250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x43d6…a56abacked Under48c61.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.696035%21 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8c2…d3ddbacked Under48c60.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.27966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39ff…4d30backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.445146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Under51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3043647.9%209 W · 227 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd125…f654backed Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.692763%17 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+29.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under58c56.33$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.621,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Over45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5640048.3%193 W · 207 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6442…aa08backed Under51c50.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2696…c031backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256149.2%30 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6405…bb94backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0237352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x225f…8934backed Over51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.024100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+107.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c61…4742backed Over52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.081136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4a3…f54cbacked Over52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.081968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7081…2d9cbacked Under56c48.07$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7510857.4%62 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…9501backed Over51c47.06$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.06837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over46c46.15$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.823,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3f9…46f1backed Over51c43.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.14540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5d…76b0backed Under48c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.16714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-72%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9310…569fbacked Under48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209745.4%44 W · 53 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1466…3bfbbacked Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019649%96 W · 100 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86b6…3038backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80b6…051ebacked Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+34.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…17f0backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c90…9cffbacked Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba68…39d7backed Under52c38.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016354%88 W · 75 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.