NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb72dd6fca2a2a668aa3898095cef24f8b1a5c33922d38f914e5ee7929f7529fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 30,839$15,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,311.27 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -11.0wins | -0.28per pick | 49cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 22,756$11,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,304.57 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 15,030$7,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,214.43 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Grizzlies | 48c | 9,850$4,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,728 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Timberwolves | 50c | 5,995$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,997.42 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Grizzlies | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 4,517$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.29 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves | 51c | 3,577$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.73 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,238$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,814$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…6133backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf484…0e02backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,505$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.2wins | -0.35per pick | 48cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,323$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.2 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Grizzlies | 51c | 1,275$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 1,098$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.02 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,063$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.4 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 988.46$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.46 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Grizzlies | 48c | 843.75$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Timberwolves | 53c | 728.11$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.21 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Timberwolves | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Grizzlies | 48c | 443$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.64 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…68ecbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 440.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Grizzlies | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Timberwolves | 54c | 265.7$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.66 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1c…0be3backed Timberwolves | 52c | 251.92$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.92 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Timberwolves | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.38 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Grizzlies | 49c | 240$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Grizzlies | 38c | 212.72$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.83 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Grizzlies | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0354…2913backed Timberwolves | 51c | 196.15$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.15 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Grizzlies | 43c | 127.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked Grizzlies | 48c | 120.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Grizzlies | 48c | 119.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Grizzlies | 48c | 96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Timberwolves | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 60c | 89.62$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies | 47c | 77.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Timberwolves | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Timberwolves | 52c | 69.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Timberwolves | 55c | 60.24$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Grizzlies | 36c | 55.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Grizzlies | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…8c81backed Grizzlies | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Grizzlies | 48c | 38.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Grizzlies | 48c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Grizzlies | 48c | 29.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…4cc9backed Timberwolves | 52c | 28.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Timberwolves | 52c | 22.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Grizzlies | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3744…3e65backed Timberwolves | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)this page
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Cedric Coward: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. GrizzliesTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.