TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6d7e…3248

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
542
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT21735%76 W · 141 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 217 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$52.69
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.66
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: BIG vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+115.9%+$71.07
LoL: BIG vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 3 Winnerbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+904%+$226
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$258.91
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports (BO5) - LES Playoffsbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
LoL: Solary vs TLN Pirates (BO3) - LFL Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.38
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffsbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.89
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.91
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$73.95
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+470%+$432.44
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.56
LoL: Top Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
LoL: Top Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.99
LoL: G2 Esports vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.95
Showing 25 of 217 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT11928.6%34 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 119 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.73
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.57
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.38
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.32
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.16
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.38
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Counter-Strike: K27 vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.65
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.53
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$49.4
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.34
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group Abacked Chinggis Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.9
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.67
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.31
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.1
Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.82
Showing 25 of 119 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT8726.4%23 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.99
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.77
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$33.14
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.98
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.72
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.15
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.46
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.24
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.79
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.5
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.9
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.7
Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.33
Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winnerbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.64
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.88
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.67
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT3630.6%11 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+111.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 20-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.89
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 13-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.05
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 July 6-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.55
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.11
Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.81
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.02
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$635.55
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 June 1-7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.8
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 18-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.13
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.04
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 May 11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$78.2
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$262.89
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.67
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 23-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$464.88
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 23-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.74
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 March 23-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.13
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 23-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.81
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 23-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$203.49
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 March 16-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.79
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$229.42
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 February 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$47.73
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 February 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$230.11
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 February 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 February 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+809.1%+$445
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT3348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.89
Spread: Nuggets (-16.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.5
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.95
Spread: Kings (-3.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$10.56
Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$13.5
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.17
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$197.2
Spread: Warriors (-1.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+121.9%+$68.16
Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$106
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$103.25
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$90.73
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+71.1%+$151.24
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$101.76
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$218
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+78.6%+$221.57
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+143.9%+$287.8
Mavericks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Suns (-6.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38.76
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+138.1%+$118.17
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$28.98
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+40.8%+$93.03
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$125.45
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+156.4%+$106.36
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT238.7%2 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-49.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.03
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.25
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.88
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.75
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.4
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+332.5%+$1,713.46
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$463.37
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.06
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.37
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.57
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.12
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.05
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.49
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.77
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$445.34
US forces enter Iran by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.87
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50.71
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$130.06
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$73.74
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$137.71
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+627.6%+$2,051.55
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.53
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.8
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.62
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.09
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$52.68
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$462.27
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 8 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+90.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+62.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: San Diego State Aztecs (-5.5)backed New Mexico Lobos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$50.34
Cal State Fullerton Titans vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$26.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.55
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$80.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+128.5%+$102.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$147
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.