NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b5156ee5a75ff569d5c3286150fda73418f91f2cf5e8b5596c2c24c37253345
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Suns, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $436,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $435,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $436,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Warriors | 53c | 123,392$64,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,594.04 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Suns | 50c | 78,473$39,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,236.52 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Warriors | 53c | 71,013$37,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,206.3 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 50c | 27,509$13,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,721.37 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 52c | 23,165$12,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,119.16 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Suns | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Suns | 48c | 19,975$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,499.87 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…e243backed Warriors | 49c | 19,483$9,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,936.55 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Suns | 51c | 18,399$9,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,372.5 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 47c | 17,350$8,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,216.3 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Suns | 48c | 16,667$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Suns | 48c | 15,093$7,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,224.8 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Warriors | 50c | 15,084$7,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,505.28 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Suns | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,050 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Suns | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,049.81 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Warriors | 51c | 13,885$7,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,803.87 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Suns | 48c | 10,838$5,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,202.24 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Suns | 47c | 10,421$4,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,897.89 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Warriors | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Suns | 47c | 9,872$4,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,666.45 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 53c | 9,654$5,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,537.45 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Suns | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Suns | 48c | 8,111$3,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,921 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Suns | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Suns | 47c | 7,731$3,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,660.76 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Suns | 47c | 7,296$3,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,437.08 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Suns | 47c | 6,596$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.98 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Suns | 47c | 5,277$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Suns | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Suns | 48c | 4,332$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.33 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c9…e5c6backed Suns | 48c | 4,071$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 42c | 4,006$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Suns | 51c | 3,184$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.4 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Warriors | 50c | 3,070$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.91 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Suns | 48c | 2,959$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.08 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Suns | 47c | 2,734$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Warriors | 53c | 2,509$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.21 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Suns | 48c | 2,356$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.88 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d5…af59backed Suns | 48c | 2,327$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Suns | 51c | 2,222$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.2 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Suns | 47c | 2,127$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.5 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Warriors | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5b10backed Suns | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Suns | 46c | 2,000$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Warriors | 48c | 1,996$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.61 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…2e46backed Suns | 47c | 1,913$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Suns | 47c | 1,768$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.99 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Suns | 46c | 1,492$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.44 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Suns | 47c | 1,480$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Warriors | 50c | 1,111$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.5 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Suns | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4949…478ebacked Suns | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Suns | 50c | 1,010$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.22 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Suns | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Suns | 55c | 982.12$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.17 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Warriors | 53c | 973$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.31 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x572f…7c08backed Warriors | 64c | 941.41$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Suns | 48c | 873.61$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.95 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Suns | 47c | 814.47$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.8 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Suns | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors | 52c | 673.22$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.6 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Suns | 48c | 669.15$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Suns | 46c | 661.01$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.06 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Suns | 48c | 639.58$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Suns | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Suns | 48c | 607.25$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.48 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Suns | 50c | 541.64$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.9 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Suns | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Suns | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Warriors | 41c | 495.29$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.43 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Warriors | 51c | 491.61$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.89 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Warriors | 58c | 441.17$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.17 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Suns | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9b…9d7dbacked Warriors | 53c | 433.96$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.96 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Suns | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Suns | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 184 | 56%103 W · 81 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Warriors | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Suns | 47c | 313.72$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.45 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Suns | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Suns | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Suns | 47c | 289.55$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.09 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Suns | 47c | 285.02$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.13 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Warriors | 48c | 279.48$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.92 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Suns | 46c | 260.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…2208backed Suns | 55c | 260.3$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.95 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Suns | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Warriors | 54c | 249.29$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.81 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Warriors | 48c | 242.42$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.22 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Suns | 48c | 242.24$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.42 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Warriors | 52c | 237.92$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.47 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Suns | 50c | 225.42$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.27 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Suns | 52c | 216$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Suns | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Suns | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 337 | 30.3%102 W · 235 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf406…c9bfbacked Warriors | 71c | 212.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Suns | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Warriors | 50c | 206.54$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.93 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Suns | 48c | 200.91$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.17 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Warriors | 53c | 200.01$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.86 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Suns | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-3.5)Warriors won
- Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-5.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. SunsWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Suns: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Suns: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 213.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 214.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 215.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 216.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 217.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.