TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x68a9…e73a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
660
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT26749.1%131 W · 136 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 267 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-11.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$230.88
LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.87
Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-3.5)backed Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$247.81
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$304.24
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-13.5)backed Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$309.51
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$416.15
Toledo Rockets vs. Akron Zipsbacked Toledo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.16
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Wichita State Shockersbacked Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$216.55
Penn Quakers vs. Harvard Crimsonbacked Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$298.67
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Utah State Aggiesbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.08
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akron Zipsbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.08
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.02
Seton Hall Pirates vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.72
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Toledo Rocketsbacked Massachusetts Minutemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.83
Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-15.5)backed San Jose State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.24
UC Davis Aggies vs. Cal State Fullerton Titansbacked UC Davis Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.26
Tulane Green Wave vs. Charlotte 49ersbacked Tulane Green Wave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.24
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: O/U 132.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.94
Spread: Houston Cougars (-10.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.78
Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$280.62
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.45
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Toledo Rocketsbacked Bowling Green Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.58
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. TCU Horned Frogsbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.12
Temple Owls vs. Florida Atlantic Owlsbacked Florida Atlantic Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+87.2%+$131.14
Tarleton State Texans vs. Abilene Christian Wildcatsbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$234.9
Showing 25 of 267 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT21045.2%95 W · 115 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 210 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$281.96
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.33
Spread: Raptors (-7.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.79
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.84
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.88
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.16
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.97
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$379.08
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$469.8
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.84
Spread: Kings (-3.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$400.16
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.05
Spread: Bucks (-7.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.88
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$338.14
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.9
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.13
Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.04
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$364.14
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.83
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+113%+$282.2
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.88
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$214.2
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
Spread: Magic (-14.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.08
Showing 25 of 210 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT7149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$133.01
Blues vs. Flamesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.14
Lightning vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.16
Penguins vs. Avalanchebacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$582.12
Bruins vs. Devilsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.2
Sharks vs. Senatorsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.12
Sharks vs. Canadiensbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$431.88
Ducks vs. Senatorsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.04
Oilers vs. Bluesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.82
Kings vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.82
Flyers vs. Wildbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+195%+$388.67
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.1
Rangers vs. Jetsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+138.7%+$345.69
Blues vs. Hurricanesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$489.9
Blue Jackets vs. Panthersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.44
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.68
Kings vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$173.84
Blue Jackets vs. Lightningbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$371.96
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.78
Flames vs. Rangersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.38
Bruins vs. Penguinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Islanders vs. Sharksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$188.89
Canadiens vs. Kingsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+108.6%+$271.39
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100.1%+$225.1
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT4252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.94
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$116.76
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+51.6%+$185.11
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$249.9
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$350
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$251.04
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$214.7
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+98.7%+$444.1
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$210
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$357.94
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+300%+$525
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+72.4%+$139.86
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$118.8
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$183.2
LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+53.8%+$188.46
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$148.5
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs - Game 3 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+74.5%+$184.02
Game Handicap: DNS (-1.5) vs DRX (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+92.3%+$553.92
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$75.99
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX - Game 3 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$280.9
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+56.3%+$225
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+566.7%+$340
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+47.1%+$188.16
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$47.5
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+28.2%+$84.7
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-5.0wins-0.29per pick53cpaid-49.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.8
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$250.23
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$349.7
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+194.1%+$485.1
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+112.8%+$254.93
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$352.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$350.02
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$349.8
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$299.98
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$299.86
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$102.11
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+104.1%+$260.2
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$275
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$250
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+41.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.06
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.19
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.92
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$255.74
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$499.95
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+316.7%+$269.8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+222.6%+$448.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+170.3%+$425.68
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+156.4%+$391.03
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+143.9%+$359.76
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.76
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+257.1%+$514.08
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+122.2%+$427.33
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+257.1%+$308.57
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$351
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$199.98
RCD Mallorca vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+49.3%+$147.76
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+92.3%+$230.77
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.55
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.51
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USAbacked Dominican Rep. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.86
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$249.9
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+44.9%+$157.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+25%+$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATX Open: Yue Yuan vs Ashlyn Kruegerbacked Yue Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$208.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.