NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2813d3e229eb2e6f831f7061a9f4ad840bdf1c8141251091448c286241473151
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Devilsof Capitals, Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,175,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,169,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,175,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 650 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Devils | 51c | 407,161$207,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199,332.85 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Capitals | 49c | 300,000$147,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147,000 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…5cfdbacked Devils | 51c | 114,100$58,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,908.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Devils | 51c | 110,000$56,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,900 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Capitals | 49c | 102,100$50,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,029 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Capitals | 49c | 89,865$44,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,033.82 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Capitals | 49c | 52,000$25,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,480 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Devils | 59c | 26,131$15,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,840.33 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Devils | 51c | 23,860$12,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,691.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Capitals | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Capitals | 48c | 19,075$9,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,156.13 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Capitals | 49c | 17,839$8,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,741.11 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Capitals | 47c | 13,000$6,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,110 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Devils | 51c | 12,500$6,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,125 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Capitals | 50c | 10,093$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.99 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Capitals | 0c | 10,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Capitals | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Capitals | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Capitals | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Capitals | 49c | 9,800$4,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,802 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Capitals | 50c | 9,634$4,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,812.58 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Capitals | 49c | 9,000$4,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,429.02 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Capitals | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe5…b317backed Capitals | 50c | 7,930$3,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,965 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Devils | 52c | 7,829$4,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,757.85 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Capitals | 49c | 7,583$3,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,715.91 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Capitals | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed Capitals | 31c | 6,712$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.89 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Capitals | 49c | 6,600$3,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,229.6 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Capitals | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Capitals | 48c | 6,000$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,859.99 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Devils | 51c | 5,632$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,732.2 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Devils | 51c | 5,500$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,695 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Capitals | 49c | 5,333$2,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,596.75 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Devils | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Devils | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Devils | 52c | 5,000$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Capitals | 48c | 4,579$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.02 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Capitals | 48c | 4,500$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.92 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Devils | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Devils | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Capitals | 49c | 4,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.98 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Capitals | 49c | 3,947$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.9 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Devils | 51c | 3,764$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.28 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Devils | 51c | 3,512$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.44 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Devils | 59c | 3,482$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.54 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Capitals | 49c | 3,270$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.3 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Devils | 51c | 3,162$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.02 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Devils | 51c | 3,158$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.42 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Capitals | 49c | 3,100$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.99 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Capitals | 50c | 3,088$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.16 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Capitals | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Capitals | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Capitals | 49c | 2,987$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.65 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Capitals | 49c | 2,785$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.59 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Capitals | 49c | 2,555$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.95 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Capitals | 49c | 2,443$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.23 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Capitals | 27c | 2,380$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.69 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Capitals | 12c | 2,272$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.59 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Devils | 52c | 2,222$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.56 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Capitals | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Capitals | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Devils | 50c | 2,026$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.92 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Capitals | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Capitals | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9512…a3d7backed Capitals | 50c | 1,999$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Capitals | 49c | 1,960$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.34 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Capitals | 47c | 1,900$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.92 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Capitals | 17c | 1,831$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.85 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Devils | 51c | 1,822$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.77 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Devils | 50c | 1,814$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.98 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Capitals | 49c | 1,495$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.78 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd74…888dbacked Capitals | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Capitals | 49c | 1,372$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.3 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Devils | 50c | 1,320$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Capitals | 30c | 1,218$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.51 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1e…63bbbacked Devils | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Capitals | 49c | 1,200$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.61 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Capitals | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.99 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Capitals | 47c | 1,098$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.78 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Devils | 50c | 1,063$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.5 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Capitals | 3c | 1,056$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Capitals | 49c | 1,036$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.64 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Devils | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.8 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Capitals | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Capitals | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Devils | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Capitals | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…710abacked Capitals | 5c | 986.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa701…86a3backed Capitals | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Devils | 61c | 887.54$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.07 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Devils | 52c | 862.58$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.62 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Devils | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Capitals | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Capitals | 49c | 797.53$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.79 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Devils | 64c | 783.46$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.38 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…8616backed Devils | 51c | 775.12$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.81 | 173 | 43.4%75 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5178…01d8backed Devils | 51c | 757$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.93 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Capitals | 49c | 750$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.5 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Capitals | 49c | 706.9$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.87 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Devilsthis page
- Capitals vs. Devils: O/U 4.5Over won
- Capitals vs. Devils: O/U 5.5Over won
- Capitals vs. Devils: O/U 6.5Over won
- Capitals vs. Devils: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Devils won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.