TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6551…e043

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
196
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Serie A, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 56 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT4548.9%22 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,080
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,920
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$3,500
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$4,250
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$3,500
Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,080
Spread: Hornets (-13.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,290
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$4,050
Spread: Warriors (-10.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,840Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$4,159.98
Spread: Jazz (-4.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$255.82
76ers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$416.5
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,159.99
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,037Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$3,954.83
Spread: 76ers (-15.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,186Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,100.23
Spread: Heat (-15.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,250
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 245.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,220Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$3,779.93
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$5,363Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$2,641.44
76ers vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,079.97
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$3,599.99
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,799.98
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,421Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,420.63
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,900
Spread: Pelicans (-11.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,565Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,565.43
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT3158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$7,746Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,745.59
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,846.02
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$3,799.98
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$725Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$725
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$652Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$417.14
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$5,400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$3,600
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$850
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)backed Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,794Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,146.84
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)backed RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 4 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$588.62
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,312Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$899.18
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$5,199.99
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,819.98
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$7,165Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+109.3%+$7,829.97
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$3,839.97
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs ENCE Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stagebacked ENCE Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,388Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$3,593.27
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$8,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,579.96
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.42
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,359.96
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,040
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,010Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$3,989.95
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$7,480Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$3,520
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,024.99
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,900Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$5,099.99
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$5,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,400
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2568%17 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,809Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,540.59
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,340Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$3,660
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$37.8
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$738Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$737.8
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$7,698Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,697.73
LoL: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$8,263Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+66%+$5,455.45
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14,569Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,569.12
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,080Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$3,919.99
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,900.4
LoL: DN SOOPers vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$94.76
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$413.04
LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,039.98
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$9,331Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3,628.82
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,388Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,388.23
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,362Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$3,427.07
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,768Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,490.27
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$6,300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$3,699.99
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$8,198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,198.2
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$5,596Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$3,737.91
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,040Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$2,081.43
LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,372Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$4,077.86
LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,280
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10,356Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5,101.96
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$6,864Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+45.7%+$3,135.58
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$7,675Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+43.3%+$3,325.07
All 25 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,640Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$3,360
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,050
Jets vs. Utahbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,160
Canadiens vs. Flyersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,500
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,440
Canucks vs. Ducksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$3,650
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,400
Blues vs. Blackhawksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,720Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$5,280
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,762Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,762.35
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13,560Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+77%+$10,440
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,280Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$5,720
Islanders vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$8,462Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$3,627.67
Canucks vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$442.25
Canadiens vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,520
Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$6,930Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$4,069.99
Capitals vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12,169Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11,691.4
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+150%+$3,600
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,500
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,219.99
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,310Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$3,689.97
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,960
Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$308.12
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Everton FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$6,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,839.99
Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,870Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,869.99
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$9,975Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,975
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$9,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3,000
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$2,040
Ipswich Town FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,117Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+104.1%+$2,203.2
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$3,699.92
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$9,360Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3,640
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,139.96
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,204.27
Real Zaragoza vs. UD Almería: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$80
Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$5,199.96
Real Oviedo vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,959.99
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$7,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$7,699.69
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,047Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$3,052.98
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$7,429Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$7,429.27
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,352.8
All 11 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$948Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$948.05
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,393Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,733.1
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,080Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$3,920
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,556Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$3,437.16
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$6,051Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+45%+$2,723.2
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$6,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$3,700.2
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,787Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,786.6
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,649.99
All 8 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-40.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+73.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+46.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$3,839.99
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$959Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,172.14
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,690Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,690
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+49.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: New Mexico State Aggies (-6.5)backed Missouri State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,526Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+92.3%+$6,023.98
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 153.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,676Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$5,676.3
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-2.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,391Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+92.4%+$2,208.55
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+178.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+100%+$3,100
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,176Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+257.1%+$3,023.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+114.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$4,199.99
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,590Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$2,820.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,739Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$1,738.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.