TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,113

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,113 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Under57c12,608$7,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,421.421,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Over43c9,000$3,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,869.991241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.9950644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over42c1,651$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.2712949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over18c1,569$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.576,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over41c860.07$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.7252454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over42c799.98$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.999150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over43c770.72$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.413545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under58c626.01$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.9251750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under56c625$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27530050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbd4…5faabacked Under51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.241163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5844…256cbacked Under61c533.13$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-45%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010939.4%43 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under56c471.27$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.3617557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under57c429$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.4772249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under75c396.95$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.294,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under65c395.29$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.353167.7%21 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over41c307.87$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4312136.4%44 W · 77 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8729343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c280.49$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.142,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009724.7%24 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb348…776fbacked Over16c225$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352119%4 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Under59c203.39$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3916233.3%54 W · 108 L-14.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over42c182$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4430143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over36c181.09$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.011,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Under63c180$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.66857.4%39 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Under66c162$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.614057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf343…fba6backed Under48c149.31$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.641553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb9…884cbacked Over43c130.74$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.222740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under58c129$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.187565.3%49 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under57c112.1$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7661143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b1…63ecbacked Over32c106.06$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.943847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4212047.5%57 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc314…3501backed Under71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-71.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Over43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4310545.7%48 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Over42c99.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over40c99.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409339.8%37 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Under71c97.15$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.11758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dd8…5335backed Under75c93.33$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.331464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+63%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over51c90.68$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9520143.8%88 W · 113 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Over43c88$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.847440.5%30 W · 44 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Over43c88$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.843342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb91…d0eabacked Over36c76.03$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb27e…29d4backed Under68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.53875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under58c73$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7515534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ef4…3405backed Over42c72.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304045%18 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x791b…6e13backed Over42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb8a…8775backed Under57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.182965.5%19 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2b4…01fdbacked Under59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.813561.5%83 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ad…e759backed Under60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.675757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e49…dfe0backed Under60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.671533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under58c65.61$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6511850%59 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over41c65.54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.871,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bba…4c7abacked Under58c64.82$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.92475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+36.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over39c64.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.161,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f6f…2715backed Under58c60.32$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under70c60.12$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0414258.5%83 W · 59 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under57c59$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3717138.6%66 W · 105 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16f8…31e9backed Over43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255044%22 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Over43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259858.2%57 W · 41 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f18…c075backed Under56c54.05$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.78475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+33.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb58…4acebacked Under57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6314045%63 W · 77 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Under57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.518963%119 W · 70 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9511753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under58c49.52$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.749753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x389a…cf3dbacked Over42c49.44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.764753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under59c48.17$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.753262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x111c…40a3backed Over42c47.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under58c44.67$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.829855%164 W · 134 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over43c41.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1811348.7%55 W · 58 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under58c40.15$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.81,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43ff…30e8backed Over38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over36c36.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.122335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a57…9ac1backed Over41c36.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157834.6%27 W · 51 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c34.47$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.981,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5ed…7399backed Under59c33.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.62944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac63…5083backed Over42c33.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over50c32.36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.119441.8%81 W · 113 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2031…5ee7backed Under49c30.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.892646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d92…68e8backed Under59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.33450%17 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under59c26.3$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.789949.5%49 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dbf…c246backed Under60c25.82$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-44.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbd…7d08backed Under59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.421952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2395…720abacked Under59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.42425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-57.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under58c24.66$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3923250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x553c…eaf8backed Under59c21.97$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.01540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under57c21.06$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0666031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb14…0da7backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106933.3%23 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0bb…049fbacked Under58c19.69$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.172766.7%18 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c0b…4d31backed Under58c19.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.043644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0708…3b30backed Under68c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick70cpaid+30.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.