TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb348…776f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 61 out of 100; worst World Politics at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT2630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+118.1%+$35.43
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$316.13
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+535.1%+$1,284.75
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$417.04
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$112.62
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$152.99
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+366.3%+$661.34
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+300%+$143.25
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.22
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.14
Luke Kennard: Points O/U 14.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.57
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$452.14
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52.48
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.62
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.02
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.46
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.72
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2119%4 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.23
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.08
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+525%+$105
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+525%+$52.5
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-52.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+456.4%+$91.29
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.3
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.39
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.93
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.12
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.46
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.9
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.92
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.62per pick18cpaid+320.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+150%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-63.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kate Abughazaleh be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.