Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf128e818df4764b47f3d4ade085e5adde2052a6a4c3615e7ef70a00f3b867b2f

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $100,592

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,592 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Under	69c	7,697$5,328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,328.13	89	62.9%56 W · 33 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	19c	5,220$1,014 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,205.83	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed Under	1c	3,701$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.01	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	+5.2wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over	36c	2,932$1,064 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,868.32	155	34.2%53 W · 102 L	-9.7wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	63c	2,755$1,746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,745.68	517	50.1%259 W · 258 L	+19.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under	4c	2,012$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.16	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over	34c	1,728$592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,136.19	160	24.4%39 W · 121 L	-8.4wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Under	52c	1,559$804 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$804.32	60	66.7%40 W · 20 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under	72c	1,389$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	167	53.3%89 W · 78 L	-13.3wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x63fe…9f1ebacked Under	54c	1,265$684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$684	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	53cpaid	-63.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ac…f23dbacked Under	2c	1,250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over	37c	996$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$627.48	301	43.9%132 W · 169 L	-16.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed Over	25c	884.41$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$663.31	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	35c	776.42$269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$507.59	4,768	41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775b…4533backed Under	2c	740.25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.81	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf0…fd08backed Under	2c	740.22$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.8	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over	57c	731.58$417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.58	150	60.7%91 W · 59 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce0…6599backed Under	4c	711.7$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.35	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	18c	698.9$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$573.1	742	56.9%422 W · 320 L	+46.5wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc94c…ba65backed Under	10c	600$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	23	13%3 W · 20 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+27.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	66c	522.04$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.55	758	50%379 W · 379 L	+20.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over	29c	495.88$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350.21	223	35.4%79 W · 144 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over	35c	432.71$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.7	964	43.7%421 W · 543 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over	36c	431$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.89	81	44.4%36 W · 45 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Under	63c	423.16$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.59	56	58.9%33 W · 23 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9cb…bdcdbacked Under	48c	417.39$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over	37c	405.41$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.41	354	28.5%101 W · 253 L	-20.1wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over	37c	405.41$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.41	192	44.3%85 W · 107 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over	35c	400$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	63c	395.41$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.11	857	48.5%416 W · 441 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over	52c	389.99$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.2	293	43.7%128 W · 165 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under	46c	367.54$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.07	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+4.3wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+14%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over	59c	362.58$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.66	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	15c	360.53$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.11	611	43.7%267 W · 344 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x883c…474dbacked Over	58c	345.36$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.36	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.7wins	+0.55per pick	45cpaid	+135.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over	37c	343$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.09	86	43%37 W · 49 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under	69c	306.88$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.69	300	50.7%152 W · 148 L	-16.5wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over	34c	303.71$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.07	1,240	42.2%523 W · 717 L	-29.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Under	66c	303.03$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6af9…a022backed Under	45c	300$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Under	65c	300$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.8	99	53.5%53 W · 46 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47a5…b734backed Over	46c	299.98$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.99	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x292f…918dbacked Under	80c	298.91$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.08	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.38per pick	63cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe375…dadfbacked Under	69c	289.86$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Under	66c	262.49$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.24	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1edf…2392backed Under	65c	200$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	51	35.3%18 W · 33 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over	35c	200$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130	49	51%25 W · 24 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under	66c	199.99$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	75	65.3%49 W · 26 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Over	56c	199.97$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.99	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-5.2wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	63c	198.54$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.17	524	54.2%284 W · 240 L	+14.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eff…d5a3backed Under	65c	197.38$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+61.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	46c	197$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.49	966	45.4%439 W · 527 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Under	67c	179.1$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	321	64.5%207 W · 114 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	67cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over	25c	168.42$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.78	201	43.8%88 W · 113 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over	30c	166.67$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.67	99	46.5%46 W · 53 L	+8.0wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under	12c	160$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.4	44	11.4%5 W · 39 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed Under	12c	160$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.4	50	16%8 W · 42 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over	56c	153.92$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.92	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under	53c	152$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.42	115	49.6%57 W · 58 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over	34c	147.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.04	277	48.7%135 W · 142 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd066…9eecbacked Over	35c	142.86$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.86	129	45.7%59 W · 70 L	-9.3wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over	34c	129.13$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.89	1,636	52.9%866 W · 770 L	+32.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over	9c	122.22$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.22	286	33.9%97 W · 189 L	+19.7wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+22%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over	35c	100$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over	20c	100$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	72	45.8%33 W · 39 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	93	39.8%37 W · 56 L	-8.1wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over	30c	100$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	306	45.8%140 W · 166 L	-11.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24de…83cbbacked Under	66c	100$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	72cpaid	-18%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee6…1678backed Over	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.8wins	-0.28per pick	48cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over	34c	94.88$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.62	100	46%46 W · 54 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8a…8775backed Under	46c	86.12$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over	59c	84.75$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.75	119	69.7%83 W · 36 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	63cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	49c	83.34$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.84	413	43.3%179 W · 234 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2e9d…9e33backed Under	65c	76.92$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa380…55e3backed Under	67c	74.63$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.41per pick	66cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over	37c	65.14$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.04	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-3.9wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb348…776fbacked Over	16c	62.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.5	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over	21c	61.54$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.57	188	51.6%97 W · 91 L	+13.2wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5154…ea77backed Under	67c	60.72$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.68	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over	33c	60.72$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.68	1,074	45%483 W · 591 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77b8…19e1backed Under	66c	60.61$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Over	20c	57.1$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.91	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	21cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Over	55c	56.43$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.43	243	40.7%99 W · 144 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Over	30c	54.92$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.52	46	58.7%27 W · 19 L	+3.6wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under	24c	51.41$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.28	213	50.2%107 W · 106 L	+10.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over	59c	50.85$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.85	257	50.2%129 W · 128 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	76c	50$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.1	117	53%62 W · 55 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	52c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	409	42.1%172 W · 237 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over	39c	48.6$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.6	63	57.1%36 W · 27 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd098…6948backed Under	49c	48.55$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.61	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.29per pick	49cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0742…86a0backed Over	59c	45.76$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.76	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-4.2wins	-0.21per pick	31cpaid	-82.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa664…6e9dbacked Under	66c	45.45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf05f…91d5backed Under	66c	45.45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-3.2wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0466…b3a5backed Under	69c	43.78$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over	47c	42.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked Under	64c	41.58$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.61	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13b5…2c2cbacked Over	37c	40.54$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.54	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ef1…352ebacked Over	28c	37.89$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.28	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	89	59.6%53 W · 36 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b91…492ebacked Under	64c	37.48$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5this page
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event