Premier League · resolved market
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb192ad494426a25cb94cfe95d5a902ec2017724f058f669866069f0aaa6524b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,692 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 17,128$8,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,096.1 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed No | 0c | 12,655$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 40c | 11,407$4,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,611.44 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 60c | 9,297$5,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,748.3 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 60c | 5,939$3,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.36 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 55c | 4,114$2,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.88 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Yes | 50c | 3,649$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.6 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 58c | 3,427$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.7 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 3,054$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.3 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Yes | 50c | 2,018$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.76 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed No | 43c | 1,923$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 41c | 1,692$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.84 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 1,098$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.24 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 43c | 909.86$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.22 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3497…812bbacked Yes | 59c | 848.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.58 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.36per pick | 58cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 56c | 714$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.16 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 42c | 615.6$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.54 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3b…b190backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 572.17$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.95 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 50c | 540.31$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.11 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 42c | 500$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.5 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…dbfabacked No | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Yes | 59c | 366.19$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.14 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Yes | 32c | 329.98$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.39 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bd…1f9cbacked Yes | 60c | 295$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 40c | 293.67$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.47 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 42c | 283.42$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.7 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x353f…bdd4backed Yes | 59c | 271.19$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed No | 41c | 250.34$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.64 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…6685backed Yes | 57c | 247$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 42c | 245.54$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.81 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 39c | 229.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.09 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x142e…f6e4backed Yes | 58c | 229.31$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.31 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed No | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Yes | 58c | 190.39$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.39 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7cf6backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 58c | 174.14$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 12c | 172.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…8668backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa296…743dbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…259ebacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 72c | 161.97$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.06 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 41c | 139$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 58c | 129$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…88e8backed Yes | 59c | 123.73$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Yes | 47c | 120$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Yes | 57c | 119.26$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80c3…5ac7backed No | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 40c | 111.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 52c | 108.46$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.57 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x279a…ffc2backed Yes | 58c | 104.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Yes | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…7eacbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…a584backed Yes | 56c | 99.97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked No | 42c | 92.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…fd65backed Yes | 57c | 91.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a0…2813backed Yes | 60c | 91.37$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 42c | 90.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…b7fdbacked Yes | 56c | 88.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 49c | 86.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c1…81a1backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 42c | 76.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Yes | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 46c | 71.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…6948backed No | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 33c | 64.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ced…9fa6backed Yes | 42c | 63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed No | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked No | 58c | 61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b7…9802backed Yes | 50c | 60.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed No | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed No | 53c | 56.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 60c | 55.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed No | 43c | 55.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 317 | 46.1%146 W · 171 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…471fbacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa989…3fefbacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 56c | 51.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Yes | 35c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…c324backed Yes | 58c | 48.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f61…3eb5backed No | 68c | 46.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked Yes | 60c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1066…b3dfbacked Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…147abacked Yes | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.