Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba1a4563c7e182b7869191fe6d5dc6327fc27d56f8efd4b0f2268f14d0d94ead

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $127,099

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,099 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	32c	16,273$5,239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,239.04	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	18c	8,170$1,507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,507.14	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	19c	3,431$635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$635.04	517	50.1%259 W · 258 L	+19.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	18c	3,048$541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540.78	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d46…98e9backed Over	80c	2,501$2,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500.22	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.14per pick	69cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under	26c	2,123$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555.91	223	35.4%79 W · 144 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over	69c	1,833$1,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$562.85	306	45.8%140 W · 166 L	-11.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	44c	1,472$655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$654.54	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under	28c	1,085$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+3.7wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over	53c	943$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$443.21	141	38.3%54 W · 87 L	-8.9wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	20c	832.85$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.57	318	49.1%156 W · 162 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…d370backed Under	21c	736.68$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.7	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over	50c	686$343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$343	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under	20c	600$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5995…53b3backed Over	74c	540.86$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.62	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.15per pick	74cpaid	+22%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0644…c7b4backed Over	54c	465.6$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.6	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	33cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24ba…9625backed Under	22c	454.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under	45c	400$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+4.3wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+14%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under	5c	381.51$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.08	57	29.8%17 W · 40 L	+7.6wins	+0.13per pick	16cpaid	+160.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over	54c	370.83$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.58	89	59.6%53 W · 36 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ef1…352ebacked Under	20c	328.86$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.03	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over	54c	305.56$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.56	286	33.9%97 W · 189 L	+19.7wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+22%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x22ac…7409backed Over	76c	284.38$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.38	47	68.1%32 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	73cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Over	80c	250$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	23	73.9%17 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	65cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0aa4…ea76backed Over	80c	250$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	78cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	79c	218.39$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.86	524	54.2%284 W · 240 L	+14.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	11c	217.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.9	611	43.7%267 W · 344 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	105	33.3%35 W · 70 L	-8.2wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5b0…f879backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-2.8wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over	54c	200$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92	59	40.7%24 W · 35 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d6…b213backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ff2…1c10backed Over	51c	197$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.53	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dc4…99adbacked Under	25c	192$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.95	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b37…17bdbacked Over	53c	190.38$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.54	101	25.7%26 W · 75 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over	72c	174.61$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.89	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-3.6wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x691f…5e69backed Over	65c	163$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.05	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.14per pick	58cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x798e…4df3backed Under	47c	150.69$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.26	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under	39c	149$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.38	115	49.6%57 W · 58 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over	74c	140.54$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.54	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under	34c	130.08$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.8	497	53.7%267 W · 230 L	+27.6wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over	71c	126.48$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.68	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	70c	121.88$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	357	43.1%154 W · 203 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	19c	121.82$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.15	323	45.2%146 W · 177 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over	53c	116.98$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.98	206	44.7%92 W · 114 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6525…c12cbacked Under	21c	104.76$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+3.5wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Under	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	62	25.8%16 W · 46 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	119	69.7%83 W · 36 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	63cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over	56c	89.96$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.96	63	57.1%36 W · 27 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under	13c	88.27$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.17	160	24.4%39 W · 121 L	-8.4wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	22c	85$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.7	966	45.4%439 W · 527 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	31c	82.45$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.22	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over	80c	81.25$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.25	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over	51c	78.43$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.43	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde66…be48backed Under	19c	76.59$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.55	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	-4.7wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over	51c	76.47$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.47	100	46%46 W · 54 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d9f…77aebacked Over	54c	74.07$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.07	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over	51c	70.7$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.95	188	51.6%97 W · 91 L	+13.2wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Under	19c	64.72$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.3	50	44%22 W · 28 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over	76c	59.21$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.21	252	56%141 W · 111 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over	53c	56.6$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.6	255	50.2%128 W · 127 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	53c	56.6$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.6	408	41.9%171 W · 237 L	-8.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Over	63c	56$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.72	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-5.0wins	-0.10per pick	59cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over	54c	55.56$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.56	143	51%73 W · 70 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	41c	55$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.45	117	53%62 W · 55 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under	19c	52.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.07	541	28.3%153 W · 388 L	-7.4wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x843e…e477backed Under	29c	52.52$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.23	47	36.2%17 W · 30 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Under	47c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	189	63%119 W · 70 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ff0…271bbacked Over	71c	50$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.6	53	62.3%33 W · 20 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00fa…9af5backed Over	72c	50$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	95	61.1%58 W · 37 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc271…1bfdbacked Over	53c	47.68$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.41	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Over	54c	47$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.62	96	41.7%40 W · 56 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Over	64c	46.94$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.11	51	60.8%31 W · 20 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	64cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over	54c	46.39$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.39	103	61.2%63 W · 40 L	+9.8wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over	53c	42.83$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.13	110	53.6%59 W · 51 L	+11.1wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	27c	40$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.96	413	43.3%179 W · 234 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xccc2…501bbacked Over	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7afb…6f29backed Over	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over	80c	37.5$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.5	250	57.6%144 W · 106 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3f9…e294backed Over	67c	37.31$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.31	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-4.2wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	62	48.4%30 W · 32 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce4d…ade4backed Over	50c	36.64$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.32	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under	35c	33.29$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.49	426	58%247 W · 179 L	+24.6wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec51…b1d3backed Over	72c	31.59$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.85	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	79c	28.57$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	850	48.4%411 W · 439 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1fb…90c7backed Over	68c	27.94$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.94	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	+3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb9…54b5backed Under	47c	27.66$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5654…3fa2backed Over	57c	26.1$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.1	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8095…d7abbacked Over	64c	23.99$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.72	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c87…7f4abacked Under	47c	23.91$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.24	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-6.5wins	-0.28per pick	54cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over	75c	23.91$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.01	660	31.2%206 W · 454 L	-13.0wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over	59c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.2	105	69.5%73 W · 32 L	+10.3wins	+0.10per pick	60cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbee0…7dffbacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.34per pick	33cpaid	+90.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over	67c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.6	412	60.2%248 W · 164 L	+22.5wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab08…37fabacked Over	61c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.8	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a6…3895backed Over	60c	18.33$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.33	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f90…217cbacked Over	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7683…d8e3backed Over	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	63cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5this page
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event