TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6525…c12c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 52 out of 100; worst Serie A at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT5147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Arthur Ferybacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublikbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.6
Wimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$162.89
Set Handicap: Khachanov (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$33.95
Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-2.5) vs Choinski (+2.5)backed Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Jaime Fariabacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Wimbledon ATP: Marton Fucsovics vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Set Handicap: Berrettini (-1.5) vs Wawrinka (+1.5)backed Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$30.15
Wimbledon ATP: Damir Dzumhur vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.69
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Otto Virtanenbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$23.06
Mallorca Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Nuno Borgesbacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.48
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Toby Samuel vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Ugo Humbertbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$30.54
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Fritz (+1.5)backed Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$34.82
HSBC Championships: Hamad Medjedovic vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$34.77
Nottingham 2: Zhizhen Zhang vs Roman Safiullinbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.48
Madrid Open: Vit Kopriva vs Rafael Jodarbacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruudbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.77
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$62.88
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$66.96
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$40.89
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.33
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$53.21
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$49.03
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$19.38
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$45.81
Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33.49
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$33.06
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$28.36
All 22 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$51.99
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$66.61
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elche CF win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+80.4%+$47.46
Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$38.74
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.89
Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$20.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Torino FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.