TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$167,854

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,854 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes31c23,051$7,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,066.2415534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No70c18,618$12,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,655.081,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c14,917$10,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,936.46,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No70c7,780$5,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,333.8835652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No70c6,065$4,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,819.5713348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked No69c5,967$4,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.73740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No71c5,792$4,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,682.372,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No70c5,229$3,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,567.361,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes31c4,613$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,43012532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c27…6a47backed Yes26c3,481$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xceec…4ad9backed Yes29c3,448$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-47.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No71c3,409$2,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.4621253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes29c3,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.9945936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.9716050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No78c2,999$2,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.761,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b93…e941backed No70c2,855$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.49850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes15c2,500$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.2134628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No70c2,500$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75072249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb529…ad06backed No70c2,473$1,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.884748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Yes28c2,150$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.986150.8%31 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes31c2,050$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6008343.4%36 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed Yes30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.942951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes27c1,667$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45024047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes30c1,667$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No74c1,600$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4164369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No69c1,600$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49610951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No69c1,500$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46513151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes30c1,486$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.679042.2%38 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes15c1,218$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.4426319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes7c1,217$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9742043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ba…b7bfbacked Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002045%9 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid+23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x046b…340dbacked Yes30c967.73$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.3210144.6%45 W · 56 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes29c916.25$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.3410234.3%35 W · 67 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No70c875.99$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.181,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes30c833.33$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25032737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes25c799.83$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.0722335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed No69c722.34$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.924065%26 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9d7…5946backed Yes29c706.9$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes31c700$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21712642.9%54 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed Yes30c655.91$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004835.4%17 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes31c650$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.56540%26 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No70c646.63$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.2975850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Yes25c612$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.014440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c604.64$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.392,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes22c568.18$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12512143%52 W · 69 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No69c511.46$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.5584549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15523531.1%73 W · 162 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15531053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509246.7%43 W · 49 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Yes29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1456829.4%20 W · 48 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed No78c499.99$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick60cpaid+36.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4fd1…7511backed Yes31c482$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.421650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes31c473$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.6330143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a73…e1adbacked Yes21c469.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick23cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes30c432.03$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.6127141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed No69c399.99$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1249451.1%48 W · 46 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked No76c394.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.741776.5%13 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf7b…314dbacked Yes31c378.18$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.2430%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x652a…083bbacked Yes31c345.26$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.03250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8330…b3b1backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ea9…484fbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes22c307$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0124146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902825%7 W · 21 L-5.2wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-49.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Yes30c299.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904360.5%26 W · 17 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed No71c290$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.130059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef4e…a79abacked Yes30c268.24$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1080…142abacked Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30219.5%2 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-81.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9cab…8228backed Yes24c246.54$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.171323.1%3 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Yes22c227.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.992832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e7d…224cbacked Yes6c223.96$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.23837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid-33%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes29c222$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3817337.6%65 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No69c207.15$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2232453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b49…178dbacked Yes31c205.26$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.631428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+115.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked No70c201.6$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.132646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…a779backed Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9342…4d78backed No69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb1a…0b60backed No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602065%13 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae46…7889backed Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017048.8%83 W · 87 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No71c199.99$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587556%42 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe85f…7f69backed Yes31c193.55$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603818.4%7 W · 31 L-7.6wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-38.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No71c186.19$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9951750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No69c180$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.851847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee87…e8c4backed Yes25c180$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Yes14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253129%9 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc70d…a6f9backed Yes31c177.42$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15cc…6268backed Yes23c176.09$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9bf…684dbacked Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes29c169.7$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2338233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017635.8%63 W · 113 L-12.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8158…4df5backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+83.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes30c166.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes11c164$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1245224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8d2…bd22backed Yes30c163.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012241.8%51 W · 71 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…19e9backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502015%3 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-48.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.