Premier League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x191ff38347935a3b108ee9d5e05c2bdfc018b331c8639fda07ecdce6495a048e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $430,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $430,733 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 358 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 43c | 58,368$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Yes | 41c | 27,235$11,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,166.39 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 57c | 25,841$14,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,111.63 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 58c | 24,000$13,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,080 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…1270backed Yes | 43c | 23,317$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 14,183$9,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,939.81 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 58c | 9,441$5,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,965.22 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 42c | 9,070$3,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,828.61 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 42c | 8,999$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,779.58 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 42c | 8,915$3,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,743.28 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 59c | 8,475$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,474.58 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 58c | 8,314$4,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,491.79 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 42c | 8,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…b299backed No | 59c | 7,000$4,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,870 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 42c | 7,000$2,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.27 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 57c | 7,000$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010 | 92 | 72.8%67 W · 25 L | +20.5wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked No | 58c | 6,897$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,896.55 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 58c | 6,000$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.99 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 58c | 5,818$3,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,443.55 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 62c | 5,472$3,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.92 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed No | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 58c | 4,444$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.45 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 42c | 3,571$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 41c | 3,537$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.7 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 51c | 3,250$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.67 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Yes | 42c | 3,236$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.12 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 58c | 3,052$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.73 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 2,999$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.35 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 41c | 2,939$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.96 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 58c | 2,927$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.39 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec91…c229backed Yes | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed No | 57c | 2,400$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.57 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eed…64c2backed Yes | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 23c | 2,268$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.65 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 58c | 2,246$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.82 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed No | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.96 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 13c | 1,994$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.83 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.22 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 42c | 1,750$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.16 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 344 | 28.8%99 W · 245 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…c986backed Yes | 42c | 1,191$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.39 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 59c | 1,148$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.1 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 1,003$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.92 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +13.8wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +42%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 59c | 925$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.25 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Yes | 43c | 890.54$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 60c | 873$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.81 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 34c | 858.07$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.52 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Yes | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.6wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 42c | 700$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 4c | 693$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf97e…aa3fbacked Yes | 42c | 650.74$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 36c | 597.35$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.3 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 59c | 533.88$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.33 | 271 | 41.7%113 W · 158 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 57c | 513.43$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.47 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3b…63b7backed Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…794cbacked No | 58c | 499.98$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 43c | 495.64$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.33 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Yes | 42c | 480$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 18c | 464.41$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.83 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ee…7e3abacked Yes | 10c | 461.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Yes | 42c | 461$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…348dbacked Yes | 42c | 450$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 58c | 444$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.48 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…b945backed Yes | 42c | 416.67$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked Yes | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Yes | 42c | 372.41$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 58c | 359.99$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a54…1461backed No | 57c | 352.45$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 59c | 350$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.5 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed No | 59c | 350$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd41e…9b82backed Yes | 44c | 337.39$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a0…75bdbacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 13c | 310$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 101 | 30.7%31 W · 70 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7cf6backed Yes | 26c | 305.76$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked No | 57c | 300.04$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.02 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +6.7wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 42c | 300$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 42c | 300$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed No | 58c | 299.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed No | 58c | 299.98$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 44c | 291$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.36 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 56c | 287.59$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.54 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Yes | 42c | 285.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-15?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.