TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,154

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,154 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes60c33,081$19,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,305.036,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes29c29,126$8,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,679.685345.3%24 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+45.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No60c20,231$12,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,084.412,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c11,875$8,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,431.052,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No46c10,713$4,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,938.221,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No39c10,668$4,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,185.374,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes28c3,043$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,190.971,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes29c2,841$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,017.039347.3%44 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No72c2,557$1,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,840.784564.4%29 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No71c2,000$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,42035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Yes70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6007542.7%32 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No30c1,760$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.112,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes29c1,724$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.1412532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf87c…da0cbacked No26c1,500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45026548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No72c1,446$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.1522458.9%132 W · 92 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No14c1,200$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9915735.7%56 W · 101 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked No25c999.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504835.4%17 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No71c984$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.6421253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No70c733.61$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.5218259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No71c717$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.0772249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes36c694.44$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.4424047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Yes29c689.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.664734%16 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c663.83$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.151,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes28c651.13$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.1184549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes26c598.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.2610234.3%35 W · 67 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes40c524.49$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.741,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Yes29c500$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3553650%18 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe0c…04b6backed Yes77c492.3$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.232050%10 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes64c486.15$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.081,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No71c432.04$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.7527141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc03a…d7c4backed No64c426.48$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.82425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-65.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x020d…ffd5backed Yes29c413.77$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.782100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick38cpaid+181.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No38c411.09$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.2426319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes29c380$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.381,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb977…aa8ebacked Yes29c376.52$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+59.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc04f…bca2backed Yes29c346.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.03540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.838831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes60c327.93$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.8349753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No48c326.71$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0957150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc954…0920backed Yes29c326.16$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.57475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+88.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No72c324.69$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.7875850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a0…6ea4backed Yes29c312.26$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.7333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes28c300$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21632453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes46c275.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.7822335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No74c266.78$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.4274156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes69c231.75$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5328736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked No18c216.67$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes28c200.06$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.3752454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked No30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe23…e72bbacked Yes30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+68.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb1a…0b60backed No71c200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1422065%13 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes38c188$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.6636462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5727748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked No72c162.34$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.882646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9375…24d5backed No72c150.98$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.71475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+78%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No46c146.12$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.340821.8%89 W · 319 L-53.7wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x54ac…b570backed No72c142.39$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid+23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3940…9e72backed Yes29c139.76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7615534.8%54 W · 101 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x76f4…c477backed No72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick73cpaid-56.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes29c137.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9325532.9%84 W · 171 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef89…37f2backed No72c136.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid+23.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2b…750cbacked No72c136.91$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd030…ffd8backed No72c134.02$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4940%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No70c133.53$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.479849%48 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc85e…5d37backed Yes34c132.86$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.862552%13 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…618ebacked No72c128.77$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7130%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x78cc…65a4backed No72c127.27$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid+75.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf318…1b48backed No72c127.06$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadf5…3f26backed No72c126.36$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9830%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No57c116.47$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3936554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No24c115.61$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8945142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Yes33c114.97$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.184070%28 W · 12 L+6.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+36.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1d54…6a78backed No72c109.48$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked No35c108.57$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3820644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc329…067ebacked No72c107.45$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick67cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6fc…0d90backed No72c106.95$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7730%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f3a…e16abacked No72c104.95$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes29c103.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4510753.3%57 W · 50 L+11.6wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x782e…e910backed Yes29c103.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.452142.9%9 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.19per pick24cpaid+102.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4941956.3%236 W · 183 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb51f…b7dbbacked Yes33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+63.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707236.1%26 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729150.5%46 W · 45 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6959645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718930.3%27 W · 62 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc6c…a22bbacked No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-46.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No71c99.98$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9920958.9%123 W · 86 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes51c97.8$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.924161%25 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ee4…4b3ebacked Yes29c96$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.168646.5%40 W · 46 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a77…150dbacked Yes77c90.91$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Yes29c86.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.213548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0fc…b09fbacked No59c80$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.21233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-45.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked No43c78.97$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.665160.8%31 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3773…57f9backed No72c78.95$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8430%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked No20c78.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.976028.3%17 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ad9…3cb4backed Yes29c72.86$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.732268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.3wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+58.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x452f…b277backed Yes29c70.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.193447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No71c70.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010949.5%54 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9708…d15bbacked Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.973444.1%15 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.