TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc6c…a22b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT4252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$85.38
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$37.31
Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+60%+$18
Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Kylian Mbappe: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$35.46
FC Bayern München leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+93.3%+$27.18
Ferran Torres: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.24
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$67.93
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.57
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+527.2%+$105.43
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$135.88
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$30.75
FIFA Club World Cup: Will Vinicius Junior score another goal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+100%+$20
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Chelsea (To Advance) backed Fluminense · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.5
Fluminense vs. Chelsea: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Real Madrid vs. Dortmund: 3+ Goals Scored? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$24
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+39.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+532.9%+$266.46
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$101.34
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$95
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 0 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+300%+$90
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Korea Republic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+102.8%+$51.4
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+675.2%+$135.04
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-46.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.6
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+87.5%+$35.02
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.78
Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$47.13
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.72
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.58
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$79.75
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 12, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+72.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 4–11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid beat Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.