TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$396,477
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$319,947

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $396,477 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 492 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbb29…947abacked Yes11c32,731$3,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,535.3818843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Yes19c22,688$4,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,231.112937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No65c22,311$14,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,822.3634357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed Yes31c21,404$6,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,614.3424344.9%109 W · 134 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e9…67ffbacked No69c17,114$11,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,244.313865.8%25 W · 13 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x41de…3930backed No67c10,466$7,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,431.911145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes28c10,261$2,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,901.198,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed No72c10,120$7,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,832.5619148.2%92 W · 99 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6200…7d23backed Yes31c10,023$3,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,118.45837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Yes33c8,291$2,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,737.735242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8538…ee29backed Yes29c7,940$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,280714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-74%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed Yes27c7,755$2,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,114.871560%9 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+36.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3fe5…8e3dbacked Yes14c7,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa87d…e4bfbacked Yes30c6,700$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.674223.8%10 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid+86%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked No70c6,688$4,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.0615950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes16c6,519$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.411,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked No60c6,508$3,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,570.931,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Yes40c6,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4009823.5%23 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes22c6,000$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.12,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked No61c5,787$3,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,256.81540%6 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6340…e272backed No60c5,384$3,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,153.449161.5%56 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed No69c4,751$3,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.6412945%58 W · 71 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3b8…3f4ebacked No75c4,500$3,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.496162.3%38 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfaa…43e2backed Yes15c3,949$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60028134.5%97 W · 184 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Yes15c3,875$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.232737%10 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-37.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No72c3,762$2,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.2125352.6%133 W · 120 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ea0…68b1backed Yes35c3,420$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.488425%21 W · 63 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-49.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Yes32c3,327$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.6523427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe432…934abacked Yes14c3,271$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes12c3,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36042710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Yes32c2,833$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.6916546.1%76 W · 89 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Yes14c2,823$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.8177845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No71c2,766$1,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.0132765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Yes18c2,692$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.634748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Yes26c2,590$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.9223942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Yes7c2,554$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.1427255.9%152 W · 120 L+36.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+49.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes31c2,504$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.561,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30072247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Yes39c2,454$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.9211555.7%64 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9337…a410backed Yes13c2,379$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.7211811.9%14 W · 104 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf511…bfe4backed No75c2,287$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.6614579.3%115 W · 30 L+17.0wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+13.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0c59…11acbacked Yes18c2,216$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003112.9%4 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-38.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Yes21c2,100$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44112047.5%57 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02fa…e10fbacked Yes3c2,050$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.460%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x851a…6b12backed Yes25c2,018$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009631.3%30 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36035229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Yes16c1,865$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.5710537.1%39 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Yes16c1,783$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.2813738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Yes39c1,768$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.685729.8%17 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93a3…223ebacked Yes18c1,701$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004017.5%7 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-28.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes31c1,700$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52718929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes30c1,650$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022448.2%108 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes14c1,634$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.6845421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6978…08d8backed No61c1,600$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.96475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+93.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x580e…38cdbacked Yes32c1,547$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016739.5%66 W · 101 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2688…868cbacked Yes31c1,513$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.041050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x946e…1225backed Yes10c1,468$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1489315.1%14 W · 79 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Yes18c1,419$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25022749.3%112 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f05…6cf2backed Yes16c1,400$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.897533.3%25 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-37.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8de2…8483backed Yes12c1,400$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.468537.6%32 W · 53 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes32c1,388$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.5142336.9%156 W · 267 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98ce…d417backed Yes35c1,346$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4693554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes14c1,328$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.3211354%61 W · 52 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e63…ed53backed Yes38c1,307$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002828.6%8 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No63c1,251$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.272,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1226…f998backed No72c1,243$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.899550.5%48 W · 47 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x208a…441ebacked Yes16c1,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003534.3%12 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3439…930fbacked Yes16c1,218$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.662040%8 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Yes12c1,191$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1474233.3%14 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f0e…7d97backed Yes17c1,180$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006023.3%14 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-43.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No72c1,171$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.54,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes18c1,124$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.021,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe739…0484backed Yes18c1,109$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.713040%12 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebda…5208backed Yes25c1,094$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2706434.4%22 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0571…78bebacked Yes29c1,031$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006627.3%18 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fc5…9fcfbacked Yes19c1,011$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.311861.9%73 W · 45 L-0.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11043248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes27c1,000$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.4514116.3%23 W · 118 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a1f…943ebacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005127.5%14 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Yes29c999.99$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2859819.4%19 W · 79 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+146.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa5d…9bdcbacked No72c995.93$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.934841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes40c985.42$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.177241.7%30 W · 42 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fe0…83c7backed Yes31c967.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005717.5%10 W · 47 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99c9…4c22backed Yes15c894.23$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13816032.5%52 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f9a…8ecebacked Yes16c821.93$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.631855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c5b…26e2backed Yes14c820$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.73857.9%22 W · 16 L+8.0wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+54.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb09e…62f3backed Yes24c801.06$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.08911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-57.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2463…e21bbacked Yes27c799.99$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21626836.9%99 W · 169 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No60c799.59$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.8436250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f73…bb9ebacked No60c773$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.23528.6%10 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-42.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x372e…4453backed Yes11c750$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.514829.1%43 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes4c749.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes16c749.98$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.514440.3%58 W · 86 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x829a…78fcbacked Yes15c730.77$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102532%8 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-38.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c4…93a7backed Yes14c714$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.961566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+60.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa584…f829backed Yes12c687.59$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.821513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked Yes15c672.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010340.8%42 W · 61 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes29c662.81$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.111,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f72…56b8backed Yes17c662.08$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.081216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.