TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8f73…bb9e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 50 out of 100; worst NFL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3528.6%10 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-42.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+165%+$349.57
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$73.57
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$62.5
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$808Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$808.39
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$675.41
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.57
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.88
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.13
Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.81
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.2
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$434.88
Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.74
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$309.2
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$523.62
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.62
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.4
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.5
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.63
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.82
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.44
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.98
Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.88
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.1
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.08
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.01
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$719.55
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,425Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$1,075
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+100%+$300
Spread: Clippers (-2.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$106
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$174
Nets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+669.2%+$870
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$312.24
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+92.3%+$553.85
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-55.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bryson DeChambeau finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.9
Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$661Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$660.6
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$419
Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.91
Will Rory McIlroy finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$35.19
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.92
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Cadillac Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$847Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$246.7
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,105.2
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$661Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$660.95
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.66
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.9
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.45
All 14 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$500
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Western Michigan Broncosbacked Western Michigan Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$99.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.