TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$900,134
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$817,406

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $900,134 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 391 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes9c49,920$4,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,738.868,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31d5…75e0backed Yes1c40,186$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.9512633.3%42 W · 84 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-45.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Yes0c35,836$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0538333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa49…bb99backed Yes2c30,121$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0178…bff1backed Yes11c20,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.98812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick31cpaid-74.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f1…87b3backed Yes6c15,464$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-79.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7a…29f6backed Yes7c13,803$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.534035%14 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Yes1c12,647$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.36953.2%3 W · 92 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f64…7a6dbacked Yes13c10,368$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.85825%2 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+76.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Yes6c9,899$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60026320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Yes12c9,144$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.316524.6%16 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Yes11c8,600$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.991,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x851a…6b12backed Yes6c8,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009631.3%30 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31b7…21fbbacked Yes12c7,777$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.243030%9 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5f6…aba9backed Yes12c7,635$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8882626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-51.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41d0…c04ebacked Yes12c7,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84040%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Yes11c7,000$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.9947643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Yes11c6,983$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.1650243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes2c6,000$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061468.2%12 W · 134 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes15c6,000$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.991529.9%15 W · 137 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Yes11c5,869$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.5847144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fdc…efadbacked Yes0c5,217$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184630.4%14 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-38.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd744…526fbacked Yes11c5,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5503844.7%17 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+32.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Yes11c4,530$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.2748441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Yes11c4,400$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.9944144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes11c4,393$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.2911421.1%24 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8966…3476backed Yes0c4,300$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3260%0 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5964…776bbacked Yes12c4,167$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009443.6%41 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a25…b124backed Yes12c4,167$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005018%9 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55a8…7245backed Yes12c4,167$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008725.3%22 W · 65 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f16…5fe7backed Yes11c3,928$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4452920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa422…2b56backed Yes14c3,571$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009239.1%36 W · 56 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes4c3,475$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.7334122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e9…0741backed Yes11c3,372$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.921752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bea…a4a9backed Yes12c3,202$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.3215335.3%54 W · 99 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes2c3,158$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4173626.5%195 W · 541 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5f…6b9cbacked Yes12c2,775$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3335422.2%12 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Yes11c2,600$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28647442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79c5…fffebacked Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010426.9%28 W · 76 L-0.2wins0.00per pick27cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea3d…6bdebacked Yes5c2,395$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.925729.8%17 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-20.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes11c2,222$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.3110012%12 W · 88 L+0.3wins0.00per pick12cpaid-46.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes7c2,134$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.4598134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Yes12c2,100$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.0533549%164 W · 171 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes11c2,002$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.3179231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Yes12c2,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2309819.4%19 W · 79 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+146.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a1…a41ebacked Yes8c2,000$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.814032.1%45 W · 95 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf58b…5f34backed Yes11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2207028.6%20 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed Yes11c1,936$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.9230751.1%157 W · 150 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa553…789dbacked Yes12c1,865$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.8519517.9%35 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-35.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes12c1,862$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.131,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8339…fd49backed Yes12c1,836$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.2928533%94 W · 191 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf094…5290backed Yes1c1,819$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.19434.7%2 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick3cpaid+136.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfedc…32d8backed Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002317.4%4 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-57.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009838.8%38 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9187…11c2backed Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004422.7%10 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019124.6%47 W · 144 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x555f…e6bdbacked Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f8…64c9backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023224.1%56 W · 176 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes8c1,536$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.9465835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes12c1,440$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.492,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bfc…f71dbacked Yes6c1,438$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8016827.4%46 W · 122 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes13c1,416$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.181,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3a5…0f18backed Yes8c1,379$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10518245.6%83 W · 99 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae0…f861backed Yes6c1,361$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.661752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes11c1,333$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.6424441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8048…5c85backed Yes2c1,326$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.646334.9%22 W · 41 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-27.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd146…e7f0backed Yes2c1,326$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.98748.3%42 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22c8…7a54backed Yes11c1,320$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.196445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38b3…bc8ebacked Yes7c1,278$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906124.6%15 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+111.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1685…6de4backed Yes13c1,262$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16027239%106 W · 166 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x785f…c1b5backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005844.8%26 W · 32 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Yes9c1,217$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4243230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfe8…67d4backed Yes12c1,206$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.7310230.4%31 W · 71 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dee…e373backed Yes11c1,162$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.111723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-53.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf393…9b65backed Yes8c1,159$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2310624.5%26 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba32…deaabacked Yes13c1,154$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503010%3 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-44.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes1c1,150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9245424.7%112 W · 342 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Yes11c1,135$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.856423.4%15 W · 49 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7087…8c57backed Yes9c1,099$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003517.1%6 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6cf…a967backed Yes9c1,077$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005219.2%10 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4176…a875backed Yes14c1,071$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503625%9 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f73…bb9ebacked Yes11c1,071$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.813528.6%10 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-42.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72bc…c332backed Yes6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020334%69 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11022447.3%106 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x801d…d8e0backed Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105930.5%18 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12017636.4%64 W · 112 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xede1…7dd1backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006637.9%25 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e65…8443backed Yes6c1,000$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.14723.4%11 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13028435.9%102 W · 182 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013826.1%36 W · 102 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea0…68b1backed Yes11c999.89$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.998425%21 W · 63 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-49.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x285f…718dbacked Yes5c999.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.991145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c6…2d29backed Yes2c980.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.113751.1%70 W · 67 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda33…cd9abacked Yes2c980.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.18651.2%44 W · 42 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Yes9c954.97$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8769534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9874…2e27backed Yes12c940$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.87132.4%23 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4791…02b4backed Yes12c916.67$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103013.3%4 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-44.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe538…c28bbacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012224.6%30 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d8f…f4d8backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.