TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xede1…7dd1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
546
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 56 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT42924.2%104 W · 325 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 429 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,380
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+1,164.2%+$920.9
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$579.98
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$150
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+145.6%+$414.99
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.93
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$235
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$323.23
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$386
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Showing 25 of 429 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT6637.9%25 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$659.99
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$876Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$471.82
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,039.99
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$550
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$310
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$430
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$570
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.66
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$260
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$1,400
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,060
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.99
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2317.4%4 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-46.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,000
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,060
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.99
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.65
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$770
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$770
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$238
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$735Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$764.99
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$860
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$519.99
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 23 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestoneslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,374Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,374.17
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,690Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,689.95
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$590
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$596Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$596
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,340Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$860.08
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$9,090Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+97.1%+$8,829.92
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$630
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$986Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$986
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$830Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$830
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+35.1%+$234
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+131.2%+$681
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,656Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+184.2%+$3,050.58
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,813Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,813.14
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+119.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick13cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,702Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,702
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.