TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. England: Team to Win

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Englandof France, England
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,903,580
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,545,600

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,903,580 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 5,905 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc58d…9373backed England33c1,102,036$364,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738,027.285334%18 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked France66c609,998$402,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402,598.5418740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed France68c524,430$356,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356,612.669142.9%39 W · 52 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97b7…a014backed France66c441,283$291,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291,569.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed England57c437,133$249,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187,453.3577152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked France33c358,796$119,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119,358.8566846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed England73c344,058$250,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93,069.761,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed France13c326,531$43,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,229.658,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed England36c308,021$110,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197,133.493941%16 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb5f…2e21backed England34c300,000$102,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198,0001060%6 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+67.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf780…be2cbacked France8c293,559$24,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,684.945550.9%28 W · 27 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x669d…c044backed France18c250,000$46,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,999.94911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-69.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d20…a165backed France57c248,001$142,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142,249.762661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbc1b…9d59backed France64c242,520$156,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156,062.935967.8%40 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe221…06f6backed France46c237,777$109,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109,576.398246.3%38 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked England32c220,500$69,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150,674.9220448%98 W · 106 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3fe2…56e9backed England33c214,126$70,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143,464.161040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…bc8abacked France67c206,172$138,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138,135.071533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x28a1…251ebacked France1c199,528$2,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,592.1330%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea6b…7fb1backed France7c164,640$11,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,495.8280%0 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbba…dbffbacked England35c156,802$54,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,200.373718.9%7 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3281…abefbacked England35c138,713$48,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90,163.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+497.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked France50c121,170$60,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,50032429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed England46c102,203$46,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,532.1313738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked England32c101,061$32,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,721.7618738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fd…cf2dbacked France0c100,136$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.887455.4%41 W · 33 L+8.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d81…b71ebacked France67c87,549$58,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,657.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked England72c87,342$62,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,591.8831945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked England31c85,800$26,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,907.859943.4%43 W · 56 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59a2…5014backed France3c84,033$2,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,184.851947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked England68c80,483$55,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,448.8510550.5%53 W · 52 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc44f…5e54backed France35c79,488$28,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,170.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed France9c78,771$6,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,909.0617642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked England34c75,500$25,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,83021333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c5…6930backed England31c73,500$22,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,714.696053.3%32 W · 28 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b1d…3721backed France3c70,036$1,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,927.92138.1%8 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+56.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed England32c68,494$22,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,394.171,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked France27c67,476$18,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,536.8119738.1%75 W · 122 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x264a…55d4backed France10c67,224$6,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,959.730%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed France62c66,911$41,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,717.63321.2%7 W · 26 L-7.2wins-0.22per pick43cpaid-56.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x6c81…98b7backed France67c66,505$44,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,6742714.8%4 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-49.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe02c…4acdbacked France5c66,051$3,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,464.451145.5%5 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick18cpaid+132.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb65…5dc6backed France41c64,918$26,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,400.28837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e24…f1bdbacked France70c61,479$43,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,035.61137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick28cpaid-89.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked England44c61,385$26,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,448.3517852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed England67c60,057$40,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,779.2144539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed France47c60,000$28,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,010.3917949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed France47c60,000$28,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,199.14537.8%17 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed England32c59,664$18,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,762.624858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked France9c58,825$5,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,294.2114843.2%64 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed England32c58,603$18,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,138.1916835.1%59 W · 109 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked England31c58,500$18,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,364.9120731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed France23c58,315$13,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,530.4725753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed France28c55,555$15,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,555.3517452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076b…57afbacked England35c53,138$18,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,357.483545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2de…6781backed France33c51,691$17,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,161.91812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-78.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x28ba…b673backed France9c50,560$4,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,309.841741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed France70c50,000$35,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,0001,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed England70c49,663$34,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,087.5342043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bdb5backed France69c49,350$34,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,051.5540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-46.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c3…c5f8backed England36c49,000$17,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,605875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+44.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed France4c48,224$1,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,868.6425842.2%109 W · 149 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed France22c47,519$10,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,235.732,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed France33c47,205$15,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,772.445322.6%12 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-51.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked England71c47,134$33,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,555.2233337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked England34c45,999$15,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,299.6647144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad7…ae48backed France70c45,714$31,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,999.494355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28c2…bfe3backed France3c45,416$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.658710.3%9 W · 78 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-58.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed France26c45,052$11,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,539.9121946.1%101 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14a2…df50backed France14c44,079$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,000425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-63.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed England45c43,717$19,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,143.0814325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2a0…b16bbacked England50c43,550$21,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,857.981233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed England53c43,136$22,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,218.1819252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0cc…aafcbacked France66c42,918$28,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,325.73650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x189f…4701backed England67c41,664$27,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,768.13633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed England32c41,369$13,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,130.7621836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed France42c40,954$17,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,098.6475729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66d5…9e9fbacked England33c40,127$13,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,885.093748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe903…6adbbacked England37c40,000$14,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,200.114341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed England35c40,000$13,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,2006259.7%37 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b3…40d4backed France12c40,000$4,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,626.253036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked England71c39,950$28,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,765.9915149.7%75 W · 76 L+13.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x743f…4d76backed England34c39,550$13,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,102.86633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed France1c38,282$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.472412.5%3 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-56.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed England45c38,248$17,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,960.0624533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad9f…17bcbacked France8c38,135$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17a2…630bbacked France3c37,898$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+172%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fe3…fec3backed France70c36,007$25,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,203.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee3c…e648backed France7c35,053$2,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,483.81010%1 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d4d…6be9backed England34c34,000$11,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,269.721681.3%13 W · 3 L+6.2wins+0.39per pick43cpaid+92.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed England31c33,810$10,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,328.896149.2%30 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da4…367ebacked France47c33,468$15,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,796.296943.5%30 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked France13c33,000$4,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,354.6725019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa81b…4d36backed France13c32,332$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3006434.4%22 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea09…8733backed France3c32,187$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.73933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x533c…2658backed England73c32,000$23,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,6402860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3834…d17fbacked France7c31,220$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,060.23250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+61.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed England34c31,000$10,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,610.6450243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked France22c30,927$6,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,908.84134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked France25c30,842$7,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,581.3520839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.