Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. England: Team to Win
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaeec5397b4ee2ce20555c0099f0dcf4de4648a2f080c2d10b65ceaff9c26d7a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Englandof France, England
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,903,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,545,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,903,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 5,905 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc58d…9373backed England | 33c | 1,102,036$364,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738,027.28 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked France | 66c | 609,998$402,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402,598.54 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed France | 68c | 524,430$356,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356,612.66 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b7…a014backed France | 66c | 441,283$291,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291,569.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed England | 57c | 437,133$249,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187,453.35 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked France | 33c | 358,796$119,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119,358.85 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed England | 73c | 344,058$250,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,069.76 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed France | 13c | 326,531$43,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,229.65 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed England | 36c | 308,021$110,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197,133.49 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5f…2e21backed England | 34c | 300,000$102,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198,000 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf780…be2cbacked France | 8c | 293,559$24,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,684.94 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…c044backed France | 18c | 250,000$46,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,999.94 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed France | 57c | 248,001$142,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142,249.76 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…9d59backed France | 64c | 242,520$156,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156,062.93 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe221…06f6backed France | 46c | 237,777$109,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,576.39 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked England | 32c | 220,500$69,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150,674.92 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe2…56e9backed England | 33c | 214,126$70,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143,464.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…bc8abacked France | 67c | 206,172$138,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138,135.07 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…251ebacked France | 1c | 199,528$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…7fb1backed France | 7c | 164,640$11,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,495.82 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…dbffbacked England | 35c | 156,802$54,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,200.37 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3281…abefbacked England | 35c | 138,713$48,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,163.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +497.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked France | 50c | 121,170$60,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,500 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed England | 46c | 102,203$46,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,532.13 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked England | 32c | 101,061$32,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,721.76 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…cf2dbacked France | 0c | 100,136$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.88 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d81…b71ebacked France | 67c | 87,549$58,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,657.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked England | 72c | 87,342$62,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,591.88 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked England | 31c | 85,800$26,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,907.85 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a2…5014backed France | 3c | 84,033$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.85 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…32ebbacked England | 68c | 80,483$55,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,448.85 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…5e54backed France | 35c | 79,488$28,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,170.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed France | 9c | 78,771$6,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,909.06 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked England | 34c | 75,500$25,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,830 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…6930backed England | 31c | 73,500$22,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,714.69 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…3721backed France | 3c | 70,036$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.9 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed England | 32c | 68,494$22,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,394.17 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…9fcdbacked France | 27c | 67,476$18,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,536.81 | 197 | 38.1%75 W · 122 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x264a…55d4backed France | 10c | 67,224$6,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,959.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed France | 62c | 66,911$41,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,717.6 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -7.2wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6c81…98b7backed France | 67c | 66,505$44,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,674 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…4acdbacked France | 5c | 66,051$3,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,464.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 18cpaid | +132.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb65…5dc6backed France | 41c | 64,918$26,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,400.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…f1bdbacked France | 70c | 61,479$43,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,035.61 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked England | 44c | 61,385$26,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,448.35 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed England | 67c | 60,057$40,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,779.21 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed France | 47c | 60,000$28,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,010.39 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed France | 47c | 60,000$28,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,199.1 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed England | 32c | 59,664$18,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,762.62 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked France | 9c | 58,825$5,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,294.21 | 148 | 43.2%64 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed England | 32c | 58,603$18,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,138.19 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked England | 31c | 58,500$18,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,364.91 | 207 | 31.4%65 W · 142 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed France | 23c | 58,315$13,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,530.47 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed France | 28c | 55,555$15,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,555.35 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…57afbacked England | 35c | 53,138$18,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,357.48 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2de…6781backed France | 33c | 51,691$17,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,161.91 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…b673backed France | 9c | 50,560$4,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,309.84 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed France | 70c | 50,000$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,000 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed England | 70c | 49,663$34,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,087.53 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bdb5backed France | 69c | 49,350$34,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,051.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c3…c5f8backed England | 36c | 49,000$17,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,605 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ab…fb13backed France | 4c | 48,224$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.64 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed France | 22c | 47,519$10,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,235.73 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed France | 33c | 47,205$15,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,772.44 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked England | 71c | 47,134$33,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,555.22 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked England | 34c | 45,999$15,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,299.66 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad7…ae48backed France | 70c | 45,714$31,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,999.49 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c2…bfe3backed France | 3c | 45,416$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.65 | 87 | 10.3%9 W · 78 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed France | 26c | 45,052$11,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,539.91 | 219 | 46.1%101 W · 118 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a2…df50backed France | 14c | 44,079$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed England | 45c | 43,717$19,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,143.08 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…b16bbacked England | 50c | 43,550$21,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,857.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed England | 53c | 43,136$22,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,218.18 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cc…aafcbacked France | 66c | 42,918$28,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,325.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189f…4701backed England | 67c | 41,664$27,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,768.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed England | 32c | 41,369$13,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,130.76 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed France | 42c | 40,954$17,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,098.64 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…9e9fbacked England | 33c | 40,127$13,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,885.09 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked England | 37c | 40,000$14,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,200.11 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed England | 35c | 40,000$13,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,200 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed France | 12c | 40,000$4,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,626.25 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked England | 71c | 39,950$28,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,765.99 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x743f…4d76backed England | 34c | 39,550$13,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,102.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed France | 1c | 38,282$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.47 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed England | 45c | 38,248$17,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,960.06 | 245 | 33.5%82 W · 163 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9f…17bcbacked France | 8c | 38,135$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a2…630bbacked France | 3c | 37,898$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +172%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…fec3backed France | 70c | 36,007$25,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,203.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee3c…e648backed France | 7c | 35,053$2,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.8 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…6be9backed England | 34c | 34,000$11,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,269.72 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +6.2wins | +0.39per pick | 43cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed England | 31c | 33,810$10,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,328.89 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…367ebacked France | 47c | 33,468$15,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,796.29 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked France | 13c | 33,000$4,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,354.67 | 250 | 19.6%49 W · 201 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa81b…4d36backed France | 13c | 32,332$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea09…8733backed France | 3c | 32,187$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…2658backed England | 73c | 32,000$23,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,640 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3834…d17fbacked France | 7c | 31,220$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed England | 34c | 31,000$10,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,610.64 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked France | 22c | 30,927$6,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,908.8 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…a37fbacked France | 25c | 30,842$7,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,581.35 | 208 | 39.4%82 W · 126 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. England: Team to Winthis page
- France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- France vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- France vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- France vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. England: England O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. England: England O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. England: England O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. England: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. England: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. England: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. England: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. England: France O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. England: France O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. England: France O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. England: O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. England: O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. England: O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. England: O/U 3.5Over won
- France vs. England: O/U 4.5Over won
- France vs. England: O/U 5.5Over won
- France vs. England: O/U 6.5Over won
- France vs. England: O/U 7.5Over won
- France vs. England: O/U 8.5Over won
- France vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- France vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: England (-1.5)England won
- Spread: England (-2.5)France won
- Spread: England (-3.5)France won
- Spread: England (-4.5)France won
- Spread: England (-5.5)France won
- Spread: France (-1.5)England won
- Spread: France (-2.5)England won
- Spread: France (-3.5)England won
- Spread: France (-4.5)England won
- Spread: France (-5.5)England won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.