TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$594,489
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$738,307

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $594,489 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c89,958$35,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,254.734,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over43c55,857$24,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,838.4214248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over43c43,624$18,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,762.112,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over76c30,277$22,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,360.282,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under57c27,364$15,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,530.052,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Over45c23,000$10,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,649.9913725.5%35 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under25c20,377$5,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,052.3441331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over77c18,579$14,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,311.924533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4cd…a98dbacked Under58c17,366$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0001450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under55c15,018$8,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,259.7970244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Under0c13,794$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6227227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under57c13,156$7,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,499.184452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under28c12,880$3,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,550.1844539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under56c10,900$6,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,144.2423949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under57c10,776$6,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,116.441,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Under57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,70010471.2%74 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over72c8,943$6,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,504.1666846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under57c8,000$4,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,56013746.7%64 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over43c7,825$3,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,460.11,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under56c7,200$4,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0551,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over72c6,178$4,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,723.563,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under4c6,099$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.931,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Under56c5,335$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00019150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over44c4,608$2,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,569.548,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882f…a8c0backed Over71c4,500$3,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3055366%35 W · 18 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+31.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under12c4,167$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over73c4,058$2,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.7827032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under57c4,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,28010555.2%58 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under38c3,923$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.552,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8397…a04dbacked Under28c3,707$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.021838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over44c3,373$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,888.882,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Over43c3,200$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,825.64738.3%18 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7be…4b60backed Under57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7101963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+35.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed Over76c3,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.999662.5%60 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under33c2,750$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.412,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c71…bdf6backed Over44c2,727$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.275644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x712e…0485backed Under57c2,500$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4256749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked Under57c2,456$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-47.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf0f…3f10backed Over43c2,325$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.628740.2%35 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under21c2,323$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.7885550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over43c2,294$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.263,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8263…e57ebacked Over43c2,280$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.564639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under28c2,248$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.044,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7bd…2a37backed Over44c2,159$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.095145.1%23 W · 28 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+30%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over76c2,083$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.8919218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2312…016fbacked Under57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over44c1,704$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.242,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over44c1,704$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.242,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under56c1,536$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.232,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85533149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Under27c1,484$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40017534.9%61 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under32c1,430$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.8726841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0434…438fbacked Over72c1,365$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.17475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…2839backed Over75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.333852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under2c1,250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2543737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec54…9088backed Over43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.792653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over61c1,150$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.642,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda49…b396backed Over44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.3611634.5%40 W · 76 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41c2…b6a5backed Over44c1,106$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.165248.1%25 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over72c1,024$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.5925339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over71c1,008$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.5343248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102920.7%6 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-66.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8762…0d85backed Under57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5704052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Over45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55011545.2%52 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31f0…0556backed Under25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over42c999.98$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.9922943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76ca…e170backed Over43c930.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.2315455.8%86 W · 68 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Under55c909.1$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0122951.1%117 W · 112 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Under55c909.1$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0118051.1%92 W · 88 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb13b…5f1abacked Under55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006320.6%13 W · 50 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over75c893.57$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.1136539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Over51c789.32$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.7625643.4%111 W · 145 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over45c773.51$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.213,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over43c758.14$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.141,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over44c713.75$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.921,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc11…4b4abacked Under4c700$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289910.1%10 W · 89 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick3cpaid+194.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over76c696.57$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.791,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9706…bc33backed Over73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9322626.5%60 W · 166 L+0.9wins0.00per pick26cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f45…5390backed Under25c669.02$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.592552%13 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+75.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked Over77c659.49$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.326842.6%29 W · 39 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over76c644$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.051,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb54…8c93backed Over76c639.97$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.595545.5%25 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under22c597.17$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.872,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over43c581.4$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.437955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over43c570.59$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32697742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under23c554.86$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.974,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over45c550$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.51,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e89…5ec5backed Under58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016935.5%60 W · 109 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under55c514.55$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.535719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed Under23c514.4$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8414131.2%44 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Over43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28514655.5%81 W · 65 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1036234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Under54c499.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9922749.3%112 W · 115 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Over71c478.87$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.8719939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cab…f595backed Under28c464.29$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1307065.7%46 W · 24 L+6.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Under26c461.54$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011826.3%31 W · 87 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe78…edacbacked Over44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.551346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+166.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Over43c449.44$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.1813736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Under41c436.18$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.1121050%105 W · 105 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over43c430.28$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.261442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.