France vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d5704c96cbcac094ec6cb7f558c38f2c65204d3561c45d1534d4fb03bc9ec72

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $27,253
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $29,428

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,253 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb17e…22bebacked Under	33c	3,658$1,221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,220.96	185	43.8%81 W · 104 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over	60c	3,357$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,357.38	379	55.7%211 W · 168 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0c2…fa8bbacked Over	70c	2,705$1,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$805.41	42	71.4%30 W · 12 L	+3.9wins	+0.09per pick	62cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x370c…6929backed Under	4c	2,343$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89	159	23.3%37 W · 122 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c71…bdf6backed Over	62c	2,109$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$808.52	56	44.6%25 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45bb…4927backed Over	64c	1,524$975 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$549.02	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.22per pick	50cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	41c	1,256$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.7	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Under	37c	1,039$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.22	256	43.4%111 W · 145 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Under	36c	883.57$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.09	80	48.8%39 W · 41 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	68c	829.76$568 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261.43	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under	30c	760.92$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.28	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	29c	732.75$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.01	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	74c	717.6$528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.85	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	38c	657$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.66	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	38c	657$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.66	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	41c	640.99$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.33	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf035…052abacked Under	40c	500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59d3…c92fbacked Under	40c	500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	47	36.2%17 W · 30 L	-4.6wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Under	40c	500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabad…f40bbacked Under	40c	467.99$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.19	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Over	70c	444.09$311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.3	383	29.8%114 W · 269 L	-9.5wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	40c	440$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	40c	427.1$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.84	831	53.3%443 W · 388 L	+15.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over	60c	333.33$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.33	246	49.2%121 W · 125 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under	37c	320.31$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.67	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Over	64c	301.13$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.24	235	54.9%129 W · 106 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7000…82b5backed Over	62c	290.32$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.32	19	73.7%14 W · 5 L	+2.3wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x008a…8451backed Over	70c	285.71$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.71	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-3.3wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	66c	283.69$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.35	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over	67c	261.99$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86	735	36.3%267 W · 468 L	-32.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over	60c	221.99$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.79	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	64c	204$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.81	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	64c	202$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe39a…da0bbacked Under	41c	200$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	93	30.1%28 W · 65 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x369f…798bbacked Over	60c	166.83$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.83	182	36.3%66 W · 116 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8124…452cbacked Under	10c	149.47$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.23	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x524a…3bb2backed Over	75c	131.48$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.87	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ea…6ebbbacked Over	60c	119.28$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.71	56	21.4%12 W · 44 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	22c	117.91$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.48	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under	40c	114.86$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.11	637	45.4%289 W · 348 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over	60c	103$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.2	220	58.2%128 W · 92 L	+18.8wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+18%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	38c	100$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9f…73a7backed Under	41c	96.56$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.59	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12c1…ddd6backed Under	32c	93.75$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	199	32.2%64 W · 135 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x203f…521ebacked Under	31c	93.35$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.24	25	8%2 W · 23 L	-7.0wins	-0.28per pick	36cpaid	-84%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0xdb25…b180backed Over	60c	90$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	69	29%20 W · 49 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x202b…bd32backed Over	59c	84.75$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.75	65	53.8%35 W · 30 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Under	39c	75.16$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.46	626	33.9%212 W · 414 L	-28.6wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over	75c	74.8$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.7	872	37.8%330 W · 542 L	-39.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad63…c264backed Under	32c	65.19$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.86	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7554…fc63backed Over	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	221	47.5%105 W · 116 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+80.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x999f…addbbacked Over	59c	48.78$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78ba…ea9abacked Under	41c	48.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Under	31c	39.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	237	41.8%99 W · 138 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5844…5bd4backed Under	40c	37.27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.91	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.7wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3144…9502backed Over	70c	35.71$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.71	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-2.7wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xedab…8926backed Over	63c	29.99$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.1	131	56.5%74 W · 57 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee8a…9884backed Under	37c	29.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f1…a562backed Over	67c	29.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.71	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over	61c	25.78$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.94	451	45%203 W · 248 L	+22.3wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x324f…15b1backed Over	60c	25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	76	63.2%48 W · 28 L	+7.2wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ad2…efb2backed Over	61c	24.45$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.45	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over	68c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.4	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

France vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5this page
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
France vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
France vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
France vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
France vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
France vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. England: England O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. England: England O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. England: England O/U 2.5Over won
France vs. England: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. England: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. England: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. England: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. England: France O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. England: France O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. England: France O/U 2.5Over won
France vs. England: O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. England: O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. England: O/U 2.5Over won
France vs. England: O/U 3.5Over won
France vs. England: O/U 4.5Over won
France vs. England: O/U 5.5Over won
France vs. England: O/U 6.5Over won
France vs. England: O/U 7.5Over won
France vs. England: O/U 8.5Over won
France vs. England: Team to WinEngland won
France vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
France vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: England (-1.5)England won
Spread: England (-2.5)France won
Spread: England (-3.5)France won
Spread: England (-4.5)France won
Spread: England (-5.5)France won
Spread: France (-1.5)England won
Spread: France (-2.5)England won
Spread: France (-3.5)England won
Spread: France (-4.5)England won
Spread: France (-5.5)England won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

France vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event