TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,763
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,900

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,763 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over39c7,287$2,840 inWon+$4,446.4814843.2%64 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under57c3,567$2,041 inLost-$2,040.664,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under64c2,475$1,584 inLost-$1,58483153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under2c1,640$29 inLost-$28.628,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under61c1,507$918 inLost-$918.172,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Under59c854.13$500 inLost-$500.4325643.4%111 W · 145 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under36c603.86$220 inLost-$220.132,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed Under58c601.98$347 inLost-$347.348243.9%36 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31b…58b9backed Over44c450$200 inWon+$250540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over58c263.45$152 inWon+$111.611,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x056b…840fbacked Over42c238.1$100 inWon+$138.112114.9%18 W · 103 L+0.1wins0.00per pick15cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fd…b710backed Over43c205.76$88 inWon+$117.4533040%132 W · 198 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under63c202.73$127 inLost-$127.0758049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdda…938abacked Over46c194.22$89 inWon+$104.884862.5%30 W · 18 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over38c181.78$69 inWon+$112.781,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over75c163$123 inWon+$40.041,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over74c163$121 inWon+$41.581,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over75c163$122 inWon+$41.3487237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over43c152.6$66 inWon+$86.9775729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over75c150$112 inWon+$38.0473536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0aa2…fd70backed Over77c126.95$98 inWon+$28.962030%6 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over30c116.67$35 inWon+$81.671,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12c1…ddd6backed Under59c109.24$64 inLost-$64.3519932.2%64 W · 135 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Over44c108.2$48 inWon+$60.5938329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x533b…0a9ebacked Over42c107.12$45 inWon+$62.1323227.6%64 W · 168 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8124…452cbacked Under55c106.13$59 inLost-$58.541526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x685c…3c57backed Over44c90.91$40 inWon+$50.914835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8deb…1ee5backed Under59c84$50 inLost-$49.561758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f1f…8045backed Over38c80$30 inWon+$49.62941.4%12 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6475…8028backed Over43c68$29 inWon+$38.764124.4%10 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over39c51.28$20 inWon+$31.2837919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Over44c43.27$19 inWon+$24.2320427%55 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x324f…15b1backed Over39c38$15 inWon+$23.187663.2%48 W · 28 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+26.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f89…5619backed Over42c35.71$15 inWon+$20.711464.3%9 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.30per pick35cpaid+95.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4388…5050backed Under60c33.5$20 inLost-$204055%22 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06fd…2688backed Under60c33.33$20 inLost-$205534.5%19 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over46c26$12 inWon+$14.042,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9dec…a572backed Under60c25$15 inLost-$157444.6%33 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04ab…c326backed Over74c20.27$15 inWon+$5.2713149.6%65 W · 66 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Under59c20$12 inLost-$11.823741.8%99 W · 138 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62d6…8a44backed Over50c20$10 inWon+$101741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over70c15$11 inWon+$4.51,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.