Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: England (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc154d88238c4cf3fda192b0f990e7aba802748ba98ca5693025d03e78bbe4c59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Franceof England, France
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed England | 10c | 83,611$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.92 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed England | 1c | 8,771$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed England | 9c | 5,047$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.8 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef8d…b115backed England | 14c | 5,003$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 102 | 24.5%25 W · 77 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e97…8908backed England | 9c | 3,600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed England | 9c | 2,675$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.62 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed England | 10c | 2,344$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.52 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf89…6568backed England | 1c | 2,310$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ba…53e4backed England | 9c | 2,202$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 112 | 31.3%35 W · 77 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked England | 10c | 1,976$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.64 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…01e1backed England | 2c | 1,974$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 110 | 20%22 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed England | 9c | 1,971$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.91 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked England | 9c | 1,473$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.77 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37f0…04f3backed England | 10c | 1,012$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 3.4%2 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…bfd0backed England | 4c | 846.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked England | 9c | 785$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.69 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed England | 8c | 683.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 253 | 28.1%71 W · 182 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed England | 3c | 631.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 78 | 5.1%4 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…a736backed England | 9c | 600$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…c1dbbacked England | 6c | 585.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 288 | 8%23 W · 265 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…50d4backed England | 6c | 575.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e90…db89backed England | 7c | 532.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 55 | 12.7%7 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed England | 9c | 527.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed England | 4c | 468.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed England | 8c | 445.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked England | 11c | 354$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked England | 9c | 325.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ecd…5512backed England | 12c | 324.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 43cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…dc89backed England | 9c | 305.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 89 | 13.5%12 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcda…f809backed England | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab8…c4cbbacked England | 9c | 290$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed England | 8c | 289.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 272 | 27.6%75 W · 197 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed England | 11c | 289$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 462 | 30.1%139 W · 323 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked England | 8c | 287.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3960…0975backed England | 8c | 270.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe960…a960backed England | 8c | 241.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaa…9068backed England | 8c | 240.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked England | 7c | 228.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 423 | 32.9%139 W · 284 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b71…24dbbacked England | 9c | 214.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x533b…0a9ebacked England | 9c | 202.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 232 | 27.6%64 W · 168 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3c…31cfbacked England | 8c | 185.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48c5…2233backed England | 9c | 172.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9b…8b23backed England | 8c | 168.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f48…0e01backed England | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 151 | 30.5%46 W · 105 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x124b…bd60backed France | 79c | 21.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 90 | 78.9%71 W · 19 L | +18.9wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: England (-5.5)this page
- France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- France vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- France vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- France vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. England: England O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. England: England O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. England: England O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. England: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. England: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. England: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. England: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. England: France O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. England: France O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. England: France O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. England: O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. England: O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. England: O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. England: O/U 3.5Over won
- France vs. England: O/U 4.5Over won
- France vs. England: O/U 5.5Over won
- France vs. England: O/U 6.5Over won
- France vs. England: O/U 7.5Over won
- France vs. England: O/U 8.5Over won
- France vs. England: Team to WinEngland won
- France vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- France vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: England (-1.5)England won
- Spread: England (-2.5)France won
- Spread: England (-3.5)France won
- Spread: England (-4.5)France won
- Spread: France (-1.5)England won
- Spread: France (-2.5)England won
- Spread: France (-3.5)England won
- Spread: France (-4.5)England won
- Spread: France (-5.5)England won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.