TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$159,143
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$136,050

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,143 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2165…f598backed Yes9c17,644$1,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,587.2520724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dab…c5c1backed Yes20c5,265$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0501711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-80.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes12c4,311$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.4175729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90d4…2deebacked Yes8c3,963$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.077630.3%23 W · 53 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eb1…6294backed Yes11c3,890$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40a7…dcdebacked Yes1c3,451$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.65735.5%4 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick1cpaid+212.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe48…2ac2backed Yes9c3,303$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.742213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-79.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6813…13c4backed Yes14c2,957$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400160%0 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ea7…01d6backed Yes3c1,916$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50150%0 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes10c1,900$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19014119.9%28 W · 113 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f4b…18c1backed Yes11c1,838$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-40.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf298…ada5backed Yes12c1,800$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.876943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes12c1,715$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.2420036%72 W · 128 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a89…1239backed Yes12c1,639$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002615.4%4 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-55.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x90e0…21a2backed Yes11c1,364$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503923.1%9 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-33.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes11c1,251$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.581,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb11…9845backed Yes5c1,234$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.15785.1%4 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a8d…5ecfbacked Yes3c1,200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec47…3ca1backed Yes10c1,147$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.99520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+55.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b63…bdd3backed Yes16c1,105$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805616.1%9 W · 47 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6af…05c6backed Yes10c1,060$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.684544.4%20 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3ba…95e2backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-56%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dce…4490backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007636.8%28 W · 48 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Yes12c999.95$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9914244.4%63 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f37…cfe7backed Yes11c966.97$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.35540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes11c957.2$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2927520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd46b…5ab1backed Yes11c921.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+56.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf47f…d2bbbacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-57.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1acc…8d96backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006619.7%13 W · 53 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9a…64b1backed Yes14c908.86$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb98…2b49backed Yes14c908.48$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Yes11c900$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993935.9%14 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes7c878.61$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.621,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes12c847.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0529813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes12c826.72$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.761,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Yes8c780$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.497742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c71…bdf6backed Yes10c768.77$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.885644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f9b…8b23backed Yes7c672.23$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.064916.3%8 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes5c667.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.765429.6%16 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf20…1881backed Yes5c634.18$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2311329.2%33 W · 80 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes10c600$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605530.9%17 W · 38 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf08c…ffc8backed Yes14c588.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.733330.3%10 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Yes11c527.45$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9425328.1%71 W · 182 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Yes11c527.27$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5810339.8%41 W · 62 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf688…3791backed Yes11c523.23$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.092520%5 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-55.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0af…bfd0backed Yes9c502.82$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.02806.3%5 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x387a…8eaebacked Yes13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6532928%92 W · 237 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca4…50d4backed Yes9c492.12$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.32419.8%4 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-68.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb58e…52eebacked Yes8c491.23$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e90…db89backed Yes9c487.33$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.325512.7%7 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcd7…1de0backed Yes10c485.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e56…5b6ebacked Yes11c464.91$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x215b…5906backed Yes11c427.27$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473818.4%7 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes7c419.1$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3298134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9163…b85dbacked Yes5c417.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-52.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes14c389.43$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.941,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes10c387.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.91279.4%12 W · 115 L+0.4wins0.00per pick9cpaid-50.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b43…b68cbacked Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504822.9%11 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b3…3783backed Yes10c381.92$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.772321.7%5 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bdc…3296backed Yes12c379.56$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.073043.3%13 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0060…5dd4backed Yes14c349.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017312.7%22 W · 151 L+0.2wins0.00per pick13cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37f0…04f3backed Yes16c322.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50593.4%2 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-77.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c7…ca69backed Yes8c299.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes10c297.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0565737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes10c281.02$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3966932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc290…2e06backed Yes12c270$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.42416.7%4 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24d9…087bbacked Yes10c268.2$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.821816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303339.4%13 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes11c219$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.553,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes11c213$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.431,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x296c…bf17backed Yes11c208.27$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bc9…29a8backed Yes11c205$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9410%0 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49e0…7694backed Yes12c201.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Yes11c200.13$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.351,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6faf…de48backed Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2220224.8%50 W · 152 L-15.8wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3752…9d56backed Yes13c200$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.67742.9%33 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c8…5799backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2090%0 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3b…c3e2backed Yes12c200$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-71.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4741…6af1backed Yes10c196.64$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5380%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Yes10c190.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc73a…ba42backed Yes15c190.56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6710840.7%44 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes13c187.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4893…170dbacked Yes16c184.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dfd…67aabacked Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203237.5%12 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x88d9…3663backed Yes6c166.84$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103716.2%6 W · 31 L-6.5wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-67.8%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xaad9…bcbabacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1866…ce68backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a2…f803backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd8a…efb3backed Yes13c153.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202218.2%4 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2180…df40backed Yes11c152.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.281315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-59.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes12c151.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.542,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1234…9bd1backed Yes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155036%18 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa02…b10abacked Yes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151910.5%2 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-40.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdabe…006abacked Yes11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb935…f417backed Yes15c130.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1096…0332backed Yes14c127.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.340%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84c…5269backed Yes12c127.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511219.6%22 W · 90 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb373…9ccabacked Yes13c115.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.996126.2%16 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5478…ff50backed Yes13c112.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa536…97fbbacked Yes10c111.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.