Spread: England (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13fecacb200dd86453edb37a3e1ffc4cc56f1f066155147a6079ba5ae77bc70d

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Franceof England, France
Resolved: Jul 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $315,716
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $329,051

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $315,716 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed England	47c	25,194$11,899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,899.49	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28c2…bfe3backed England	4c	23,565$898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$898.28	87	10.3%9 W · 78 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed England	47c	20,979$9,889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,889.02	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e26…d96fbacked France	53c	20,324$10,726 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,597.94	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked France	54c	13,312$7,129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,182.6	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed England	4c	11,078$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.25	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed France	54c	9,335$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,335.38	169	47.3%80 W · 89 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…9a67backed England	49c	6,624$3,219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,219.32	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-3.0wins	-0.16per pick	58cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9032…8717backed England	49c	6,375$3,102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,102.41	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked England	17c	5,451$914 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$914.16	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed France	52c	5,261$2,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,511.63	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed England	1c	5,150$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.35	605	11.4%69 W · 536 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked England	31c	4,513$1,383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,383.11	585	30.9%181 W · 404 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-28%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed England	0c	4,420$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.19	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf2…f765backed England	46c	4,303$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	87	55.2%48 W · 39 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked England	48c	4,250$2,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,040.23	167	55.1%92 W · 75 L	+10.3wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed England	15c	4,230$639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$638.83	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed England	6c	3,720$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.56	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0af…bfd0backed England	2c	3,574$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.54	80	6.3%5 W · 75 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f0…fe05backed England	49c	3,217$1,563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,563.17	84	41.7%35 W · 49 L	+6.2wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+17%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed England	48c	3,087$1,485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,485.27	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb11…9845backed England	2c	3,083$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.46	78	5.1%4 W · 74 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed France	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,469.95	177	48%85 W · 92 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed England	41c	2,518$1,022 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,022.22	462	30.1%139 W · 323 L	-13.8wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed England	1c	2,468$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.72	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked France	52c	2,183$1,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,042.28	175	27.4%48 W · 127 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed England	45c	2,165$976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$975.81	1,063	31.7%337 W · 726 L	-33.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed England	42c	1,991$831 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$831.41	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c2…dc0bbacked France	51c	1,830$937 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$893.21	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked England	7c	1,654$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.34	312	32.4%101 W · 211 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked England	40c	1,632$656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$656.14	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72a7…34ebbacked England	6c	1,539$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked England	46c	1,462$667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$667.29	256	43.4%111 W · 145 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked England	33c	1,390$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.13	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked England	41c	1,348$554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$553.97	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bff…5c18backed England	48c	1,300$621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$621.4	214	29.4%63 W · 151 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed England	47c	1,181$554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.17	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked France	78c	1,014$792 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.02	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e89…5ec5backed England	22c	944.05$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.69	169	35.5%60 W · 109 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72e0…08eebacked France	53c	941.57$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$441.57	262	43.1%113 W · 149 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed England	46c	893.62$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.88	235	58.3%137 W · 98 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed France	74c	860.32$639 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.05	268	41.8%112 W · 156 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c5b…a736backed England	49c	818$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	319	41.4%132 W · 187 L	+16.5wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed France	78c	755.29$588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.94	264	59.5%157 W · 107 L	+18.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed France	54c	743.42$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$343.42	224	49.1%110 W · 114 L	+20.3wins	+0.09per pick	40cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed France	69c	661.51$456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.57	176	59.7%105 W · 71 L	+25.3wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5217…ec29backed England	47c	650$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.5	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-3.9wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked England	15c	638$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.88	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13ba…53e4backed England	49c	612.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	112	31.3%35 W · 77 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed France	51c	583.66$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.66	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed England	48c	583.54$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.43	109	29.4%32 W · 77 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6cc…6f75backed France	51c	553.74$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268.74	201	46.8%94 W · 107 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5e7…d0cfbacked France	53c	552.78$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.36	92	54.3%50 W · 42 L	+6.8wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed England	16c	534$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.3	83	21.7%18 W · 65 L	+7.8wins	+0.09per pick	12cpaid	+81.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f45…5390backed England	33c	531.91$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.52	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+3.4wins	+0.14per pick	38cpaid	+75.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed France	52c	514.7$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.23	117	50.4%59 W · 58 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc61f…35a6backed France	53c	499.59$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.64	318	42.5%135 W · 183 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed England	42c	436.29$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.68	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf89…6568backed England	7c	432.02$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	49	10.2%5 W · 44 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f1…b1eebacked England	49c	428.57$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	161	31.7%51 W · 110 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked England	49c	416.37$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.02	139	56.8%79 W · 60 L	+9.8wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x254b…7df6backed France	57c	405.32$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.27	77	55.8%43 W · 34 L	+8.8wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+53.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x31f5…c806backed England	49c	393.75$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.36	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed France	51c	391.02$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.82	119	52.9%63 W · 56 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x671d…c1c6backed France	51c	389.11$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.11	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	-3.2wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked France	51c	389.11$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.11	92	19.6%18 W · 74 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x631a…a80fbacked France	52c	383.14$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.14	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked England	10c	372.31$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.19	981	34.8%341 W · 640 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed England	49c	365.48$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.66	224	49.6%111 W · 113 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed France	53c	341.37$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.89	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed England	24c	336.51$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.25	390	39%152 W · 238 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6254…4839backed England	20c	333.3$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.66	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.18per pick	30cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c67…a0e0backed England	17c	292.02$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	165	37.6%62 W · 103 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed France	45c	289.68$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.48	135	52.6%71 W · 64 L	+25.9wins	+0.19per pick	33cpaid	+129%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0xf07c…78f6backed France	52c	285.71$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.21	129	54.3%70 W · 59 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f64…1bcbbacked England	49c	285.65$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.97	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed England	22c	259.06$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.27	253	28.1%71 W · 182 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc427…6f4dbacked France	54c	249.99$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.04	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8255…4261backed England	49c	236.48$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.17	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked England	11c	211.5$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.05	669	32.1%215 W · 454 L	+16.8wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed England	47c	206.74$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.5	984	39.2%386 W · 598 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9985…6afabacked England	49c	205.34$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7e47…a510backed England	49c	204.92$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	55	58.2%32 W · 23 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff9…cdc9backed England	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb662…9545backed England	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e90…db89backed England	8c	201.63$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.48	55	12.7%7 W · 48 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36d7…5013backed England	50c	201.03$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e1a…947cbacked England	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.8	125	32.8%41 W · 84 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2691…6c3cbacked England	51c	196.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	38	63.2%24 W · 14 L	+3.1wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed France	51c	194.93$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.93	185	44.9%83 W · 102 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf751…65ccbacked France	51c	194.55$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.55	99	49.5%49 W · 50 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7116…562abacked France	52c	193.05$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.05	203	39.4%80 W · 123 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4eb…cde5backed France	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-2.5wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3379…549abacked France	52c	190.84$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.84	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7f…bce6backed France	53c	190$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.54	79	45.6%36 W · 43 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked France	55c	181.26$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.26	285	28.8%82 W · 203 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda49…b396backed France	55c	180.83$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.83	116	34.5%40 W · 76 L	-8.5wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeffa…9679backed France	51c	146$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.1	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf555…3608backed England	21c	144.93$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	169	47.3%80 W · 89 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3b71…24dbbacked England	49c	142.86$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: England (-3.5)this page
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
France vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
France vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
France vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
France vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
France vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. England: England O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. England: England O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. England: England O/U 2.5Over won
France vs. England: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. England: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. England: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. England: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. England: France O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. England: France O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. England: France O/U 2.5Over won
France vs. England: O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. England: O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. England: O/U 2.5Over won
France vs. England: O/U 3.5Over won
France vs. England: O/U 4.5Over won
France vs. England: O/U 5.5Over won
France vs. England: O/U 6.5Over won
France vs. England: O/U 7.5Over won
France vs. England: O/U 8.5Over won
France vs. England: Team to WinEngland won
France vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
France vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: England (-1.5)England won
Spread: England (-2.5)France won
Spread: England (-4.5)France won
Spread: England (-5.5)France won
Spread: France (-1.5)England won
Spread: France (-2.5)England won
Spread: France (-3.5)England won
Spread: France (-4.5)England won
Spread: France (-5.5)England won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: England (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event