TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5f64…1bcb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Filsbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.17
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobollibacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.17
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$458.63
Set Handicap: Munar (-1.5) vs Stricker (+1.5)backed Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$904Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$903.77
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$961Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$961.06
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$366.32
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,148.41
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.67
Sonego vs. Rublev: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$734Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$733.89
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Zizou Bergsbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$48.17
Alexander Blockx vs. Ben Shelton: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.8
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,044Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,044.22
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Medjedovic (+1.5)backed Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.57
Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Terence Atmanebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$206.19
Barcelona Open: Mariano Navone vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+39%+$152.27
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Ofner (+1.5)backed Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,455Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$741.17
Tallahassee: Liam Draxl vs Kaylan Bigunbacked Liam Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,472Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$503.58
Set Handicap: Norrie (-1.5) vs Wawrinka (+1.5)backed Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.39
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.19
Cameron Norrie vs. Stan Wawrinka: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$969.77
BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,949Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$684.82
Busan: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,530Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$998.19
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaurbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$192.06
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.95
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverevbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.69
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. 76ers: 1H Moneylinebacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$917Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$917.4
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.19
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$836Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$772.15
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$520.68
Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.05
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$426.58
76ers vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.62
Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$177.51
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 243.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$91.39
Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$83.33
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.42
VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$966Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$965.65
VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,357Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$726.59
1. FC Köln vs. SV Werder Bremen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,455Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$805.98
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$322.08
RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$445.56
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.58
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$683Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$683.26
VfL Wolfsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$969Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$519.66
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+29.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OGC Nice vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$239.61
Will Paris FC win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.49
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.06
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-53%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,503Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,502.82
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+41%+$110.51
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.08
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Galatasaray SK vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$342.41
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$606.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$454.78
UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Nate Landwehr · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$479.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$971Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$971.17
Spread: England (-3.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$194.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fluminense FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$249.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. AZ: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$189.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atalanta BC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.