TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zverevof Sinner, Zverev
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$489,890
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$580,188

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $489,890 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f03…766dbacked Zverev60c96,525$58,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,524.5710453.8%56 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59a2…5014backed Sinner40c93,845$37,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,811.11154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f0e…a019backed Sinner40c52,149$20,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,763.5340%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6501…1220backed Zverev59c51,316$30,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,954.31330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+59.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Sinner41c25,000$10,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,249.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed Sinner41c24,900$10,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,2094841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Sinner40c21,972$8,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,756.634857.2%199 W · 149 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Zverev60c20,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,00021743.8%95 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69c5…1e01backed Zverev59c16,949$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,949.152152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Zverev59c15,138$8,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,206.585158.8%30 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed Sinner39c12,850$5,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,011.5516344.8%73 W · 90 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5901…63a2backed Sinner43c12,524$5,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,340.7211051.8%57 W · 53 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Sinner40c12,500$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.9614443.8%63 W · 81 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Sinner41c12,000$4,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9208940.4%36 W · 53 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Sinner0c11,425$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4226355.1%145 W · 118 L+36.9wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+25.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Zverev62c11,201$6,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,283.012,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Zverev58c11,000$6,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,619.8927460.2%165 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Sinner41c10,000$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,099.9937450%187 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Zverev59c9,902$5,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,072.387,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Zverev59c9,000$5,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,669.9629146%134 W · 157 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Zverev59c8,542$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,502.091,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Zverev60c7,350$4,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9401361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.21per pick40cpaid+57%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Zverev59c6,236$3,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,556.852147.6%10 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked Sinner41c6,000$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,46016636.7%61 W · 105 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Zverev60c4,104$2,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,641.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Sinner41c4,000$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6409741.2%40 W · 57 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Sinner39c3,993$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.293740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Zverev59c3,704$2,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.9472452.6%381 W · 343 L+34.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Zverev57c3,391$1,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.072,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked Zverev59c3,236$1,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.924434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab8e…05c8backed Sinner41c2,847$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Sinner39c2,622$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.954541.7%227 W · 318 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8400…274cbacked Zverev61c2,459$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f64…1bcbbacked Sinner40c2,403$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.063246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab4a…823abacked Zverev60c2,250$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.55143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Sinner42c2,135$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.272,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f8e…b232backed Sinner20c2,000$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ca…b27abacked Zverev61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7804100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Zverev61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7803243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Zverev57c2,000$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.9928141.6%117 W · 164 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc18f…aee6backed Sinner1c1,889$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Sinner39c1,779$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.892,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Zverev61c1,747$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.1713852.2%72 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x056b…303ebacked Sinner41c1,707$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd794…248bbacked Sinner41c1,664$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.19540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Sinner40c1,617$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.2272638.8%282 W · 444 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca4…348fbacked Sinner39c1,500$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58529443.5%128 W · 166 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce20…0b7bbacked Sinner41c1,452$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Zverev60c1,322$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.435955.7%200 W · 159 L+20.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb157…0120backed Sinner40c1,300$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Zverev63c1,267$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.721,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Sinner41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.194949%24 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa526…b971backed Sinner41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+53.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Sinner42c1,200$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50426541.9%111 W · 154 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0705…b7ddbacked Sinner42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+61.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Sinner41c1,177$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4781,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca2…03cfbacked Sinner37c1,150$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.795536.4%20 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97a1…d1eebacked Zverev59c1,146$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.0623047.4%109 W · 121 L-0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbbb…3df5backed Sinner42c1,110$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.2520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-71%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Sinner42c1,039$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.4114134%48 W · 93 L-10.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb775…36f5backed Zverev59c1,007$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.574548.9%22 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc60b…d9f7backed Sinner41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41035439.8%141 W · 213 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e47…5c64backed Zverev59c994.63$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.81457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Sinner40c953.54$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.554,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Zverev59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.46757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Zverev61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.6718543.2%80 W · 105 L-13.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b20…8eafbacked Sinner41c800$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3289761.9%60 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36e6…ad16backed Sinner40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004151.2%21 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa254…244dbacked Zverev59c740.68$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.682860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Sinner41c737.5$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.381118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick48cpaid-63.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Zverev60c733.97$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.141,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68d1…f84fbacked Zverev65c699.99$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.24475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Sinner38c645.06$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.1228947.8%138 W · 151 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Zverev39c599.75$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.741,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Sinner36c570.03$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.499,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd55e…f0d7backed Zverev60c559.87$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.95450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Zverev60c551.87$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.284,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Sinner41c539.27$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.982,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x353b…e535backed Zverev57c528.63$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.314763.8%30 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed Sinner40c528$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.21118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-63.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1f4…dd7cbacked Zverev60c520.15$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.0610656.6%60 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7456…5148backed Sinner41c516$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.482429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x47f6…b051backed Sinner42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21041644.5%185 W · 231 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Zverev60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20012439.5%49 W · 75 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Sinner41c498.33$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.322,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Zverev57c490.23$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.813025.4%33 W · 97 L-13.6wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-28%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe741…a9d1backed Sinner40c487.43$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9725948.6%126 W · 133 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Sinner42c485$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.71735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Sinner42c484.03$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.2910438.5%40 W · 64 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85e5…dc32backed Sinner40c480.53$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f39…f8f2backed Sinner42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick43cpaid-83.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c74…5383backed Sinner36c474.99$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.755339.6%21 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b75…6679backed Sinner41c471.12$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1612350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Sinner41c456.99$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.3789850.1%450 W · 448 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30dc…768ebacked Sinner40c425$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17011564.3%74 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f5…8fe0backed Zverev64c419.05$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-47.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Zverev61c413.52$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.271,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x792d…7363backed Zverev61c409.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.843839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Sinner33c399.88$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.424,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Sinner38c391.7$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.