TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Under 4.5of Over 4.5, Under 4.5
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,889
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,629

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,889 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Under 4.578c4,939$3,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.537167.6%48 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over 4.522c3,709$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.62,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb157…0120backed Under 4.575c1,409$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Under 4.550c1,242$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62026355.1%145 W · 118 L+36.9wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+25.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa7a5…38d8backed Over 4.533c909.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.32259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Over 4.526c853.31$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.531,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under 4.567c821.4$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.066,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5aa…b519backed Over 4.541c699.97$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.991520%3 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-55%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over 4.529c690.96$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.49,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Over 4.520c605$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211,14941.3%474 W · 675 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Over 4.522c600$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.747,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ba1…88c1backed Under 4.577c480.18$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe904…2d9fbacked Under 4.575c439.98$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.991747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under 4.557c414.53$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.294,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb116…c4e1backed Over 4.550c394$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1971338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-42.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad9a…c3f4backed Over 4.543c344.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over 4.546c303.44$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.871,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ef5…f255backed Under 4.579c296.81$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.532100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+91.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2688…9197backed Under 4.573c291.95$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8333558.5%196 W · 139 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc74a…25a2backed Under 4.555c259.16$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.621457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x559b…4959backed Under 4.547c254.81$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.821546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Over 4.525c252.48$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.122,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under 4.576c247.93$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.552847%248 W · 280 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over 4.523c226$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9872638.8%282 W · 444 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x266c…6963backed Over 4.555c209.09$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac1a…96b7backed Over 4.550c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Over 4.524c197.04$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.462,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Under 4.576c183.07$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.074973.5%36 W · 13 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xecf8…74d2backed Under 4.555c167.95$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.581154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0806…4adabacked Over 4.543c159.79$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6914652.7%77 W · 69 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x701c…b953backed Under 4.557c154$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.227946.8%37 W · 42 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+18.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d7b…6e23backed Under 4.570c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Over 4.526c136.96$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.616734.3%23 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce6e…1256backed Over 4.528c134.34$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6226043.8%114 W · 146 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Under 4.575c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3390152.3%471 W · 430 L-2.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under 4.573c130.23$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.161,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8fb…c3cabacked Under 4.577c125.97$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.974671.7%33 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11f5…ea34backed Over 4.541c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8544…94d6backed Over 4.525c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303641.7%15 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c6b…88a7backed Over 4.525c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick33cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe13c…1159backed Under 4.578c100.95$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.959558.9%56 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdda…938abacked Over 4.550c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.26per pick47cpaid-37.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x87d6…551abacked Over 4.525c94.49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248356.6%47 W · 36 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5a…9d75backed Over 4.523c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cce…6681backed Over 4.549c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-55.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Over 4.539c79.68$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.083740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over 4.523c74.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.33,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Under 4.572c69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.321,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee5a…9f70backed Over 4.523c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.835641.3%147 W · 209 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ad…34cebacked Under 4.572c58.4$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3544051.6%227 W · 213 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a31…0321backed Over 4.526c58.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacd7…a9d0backed Over 4.526c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf964…e224backed Over 4.549c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf499…80bdbacked Over 4.549c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Over 4.545c50.84$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234440.9%18 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed Under 4.574c50.63$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.164652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c2e…b55cbacked Over 4.524c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129245.7%42 W · 50 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a32…d6cbbacked Over 4.550c49.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x535d…4f11backed Under 4.567c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under 4.559c44.5$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0933550.1%168 W · 167 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fd6…81f6backed Over 4.555c44.22$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.32771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under 4.573c43.77$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7785250%426 W · 426 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf94…dfe2backed Over 4.534c42.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5860%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2df…0415backed Over 4.525c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe56…093dbacked Over 4.548c37.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdbe…e45bbacked Under 4.574c35.2$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1533048.8%161 W · 169 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 4.574c34.65$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.017,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4332…3e68backed Over 4.544c33.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da3…a83dbacked Over 4.550c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-48.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Under 4.575c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.512737%47 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2b0…852bbacked Over 4.555c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e63…bdbdbacked Under 4.578c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8cb…b294backed Over 4.550c25.36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.68911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick36cpaid-73.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8ca…cccbbacked Under 4.576c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0412354.5%67 W · 56 L+13.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+43.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Under 4.574c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.293557.3%536 W · 399 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4729…0b39backed Under 4.566c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…15debacked Over 4.550c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid+17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf45…ea2cbacked Under 4.577c17.38$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x11f4…12dabacked Under 4.564c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631080%8 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf05d…6ababacked Under 4.566c15.43$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.242626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-32.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5ac2…4fd8backed Under 4.573c14.26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.855860.3%35 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.