Tennis · resolved market

Set 2 Winner: Sinner vs Zverev

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5943f534c81ed9e14a0884130eafe49efcb9d0dbed29738c162c22c0e331136c

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Sinnerof Sinner, Zverev
Resolved: Jul 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $34,698
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $39,662

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,698 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb4d2…ce99backed Zverev	19c	8,412$1,634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,633.96	4,921	38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L	-20.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6f1…5729backed Sinner	64c	2,789$1,774 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,015.02	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+57.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Zverev	35c	2,655$931 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$931.16	390	46.4%181 W · 209 L	-14.3wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Sinner	61c	2,492$1,517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$975.04	6,449	46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L	-42.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Sinner	68c	2,193$1,502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$691.46	5,416	48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L	+14.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Zverev	7c	2,142$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.14	1,206	8%96 W · 1,110 L	+17.2wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+80.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked Zverev	20c	2,079$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.54	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	+3.1wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Sinner	75c	1,957$1,464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$493.29	4,602	48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L	+34.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0458…92e9backed Sinner	65c	1,669$1,085 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$584.11	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x565c…878dbacked Zverev	39c	1,323$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515	107	30.8%33 W · 74 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc29…422abacked Zverev	37c	1,169$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427	137	27.7%38 W · 99 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e47…5c64backed Zverev	42c	899.98$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.99	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55b7…ed70backed Sinner	58c	699.99$406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc74b…4e15backed Zverev	38c	588.65$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.33	59	28.8%17 W · 42 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf58e…a0b0backed Sinner	69c	508.7$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.7	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.8wins	+0.22per pick	40cpaid	+272.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Zverev	42c	474.91$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	632	52.8%334 W · 298 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Sinner	66c	463.99$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.69	745	47.4%353 W · 392 L	-28.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-17%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd050…c915backed Zverev	36c	447.67$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	208	46.2%96 W · 112 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4812…d20dbacked Zverev	42c	439.17$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.48	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a3b…2eb3backed Sinner	69c	434.78$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.78	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	69cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f56…50edbacked Zverev	37c	366.12$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.18	277	48.7%135 W · 142 L	+13.9wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Sinner	58c	358.12$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.41	1,142	47.3%540 W · 602 L	+65.6wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3dc…eaa8backed Zverev	40c	335.93$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.83	113	42.5%48 W · 65 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Sinner	66c	280.88$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.45	651	57.1%372 W · 279 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb81d…929bbacked Zverev	37c	270.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.34per pick	41cpaid	+78.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x067d…2720backed Zverev	40c	252.47$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e80…c709backed Sinner	62c	252.39$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.91	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Sinner	66c	239.99$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.6	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+3.4wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+48.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed Zverev	42c	233.33$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	61	57.4%35 W · 26 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3092…4aa9backed Zverev	43c	230.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	97	46.4%45 W · 52 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Sinner	65c	226.65$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.33	512	43%220 W · 292 L	+14.5wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x701c…b953backed Sinner	69c	226$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.1	79	46.8%37 W · 42 L	+7.3wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Sinner	69c	220$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69	82	41.5%34 W · 48 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2a…d25cbacked Zverev	48c	208.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	135	49.6%67 W · 68 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x389d…83dfbacked Zverev	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Zverev	34c	172.72$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.72	6,439	54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L	+285.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaf6…dd05backed Sinner	64c	171.88$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.88	44	50%22 W · 22 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb20…a151backed Sinner	62c	161.45$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.5	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+2.4wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Sinner	70c	154.9$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.4	323	33.7%109 W · 214 L	-8.5wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe467…593abacked Sinner	65c	153.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.85	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+48%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd31…6103backed Zverev	30c	153$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.85	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f9…cfd8backed Zverev	42c	149.02$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.59	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Sinner	65c	148.4$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.61	2,854	39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L	-83.5wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Zverev	37c	147.45$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.16	3,677	54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L	+107.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24cc…0927backed Sinner	69c	145.29$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.29	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x973d…318fbacked Zverev	16c	116$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.08	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d8f…2c27backed Zverev	34c	102.94$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-7.5wins	-0.24per pick	53cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0xfa8f…18adbacked Zverev	42c	100.21$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.09	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16c6…19e2backed Sinner	73c	100$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	94	52.1%49 W · 45 L	+11.5wins	+0.12per pick	40cpaid	+34.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8091…6bf6backed Sinner	68c	93.03$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.77	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5807…74dcbacked Sinner	65c	89.82$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.13	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Zverev	29c	87.76$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.21	2,032	46.9%952 W · 1,080 L	-12.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Sinner	72c	85.08$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.18	487	38.4%187 W · 300 L	+14.1wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7efc…f039backed Zverev	40c	80.24$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.36	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb38…467cbacked Sinner	65c	70$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.7	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+54.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x538d…55afbacked Zverev	37c	59.47$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	77	29.9%23 W · 54 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Zverev	36c	55.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.14	2,447	45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Zverev	35c	55.14$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.3	710	21.3%151 W · 559 L	-28.0wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6138…3d65backed Zverev	47c	53.36$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf94…dfe2backed Zverev	41c	52.63$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.51	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd45…a81dbacked Zverev	44c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.22	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a38…3378backed Sinner	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+3.2wins	+0.16per pick	54cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed Sinner	60c	49.76$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.09	176	43.8%77 W · 99 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce74…e6ecbacked Sinner	71c	43.66$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.66	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…3c88backed Zverev	48c	41.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	190	51.6%98 W · 92 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ff0…53a1backed Zverev	36c	40$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+3.0wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xab4e…dec9backed Sinner	60c	40$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	-84.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb59…d1a7backed Zverev	45c	39.26$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.59	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf71a…f366backed Sinner	65c	37.75$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.21	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04bf…9cc3backed Zverev	44c	36.36$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9bb…cad6backed Zverev	33c	33.78$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.26	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+53.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f0c…67e5backed Sinner	67c	30.12$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.94	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b01…619dbacked Sinner	72c	27.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.78	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed Sinner	61c	24.55$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.55	425	45.6%194 W · 231 L	-11.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8a6…456cbacked Zverev	44c	24.41$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.74	116	56%65 W · 51 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Sinner	56c	23.94$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.59	743	46.3%344 W · 399 L	-28.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Sinner	59c	23.24$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.61	1,880	48.5%912 W · 968 L	+8.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd0da…8264backed Sinner	65c	23.08$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.08	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+81.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6051…06efbacked Sinner	66c	22.73$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.73	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe886…cf16backed Sinner	67c	22.31$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.31	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe354…3ac7backed Sinner	64c	19.94$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.11	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.13per pick	67cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4738…e64abacked Sinner	73c	19.93$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.33	118	53.4%63 W · 55 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f55…2181backed Sinner	65c	18.34$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.42	128	39.8%51 W · 77 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93d2…3aa0backed Sinner	68c	18.03$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.77	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.34per pick	54cpaid	-70.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcde8…95c5backed Sinner	74c	13.57$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.53	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	72cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Set 2 Winner: Sinner vs Zverevthis page
Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs ZverevZverev won
Set 3 Winner: Sinner vs ZverevSinner won
Set 4 Winner: Sinner vs ZverevSinner won
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)Sinner won
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)Zverev won
Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5Over won
Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5Over won
Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5Over won
Sinner vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
Sinner vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevJannik Sinner won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Set 2 Winner: Sinner vs Zverev

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event