Tennis · resolved market
Set 4 Winner: Sinner vs Zverev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b0c652c12d2a41d5d7f411bd3fc73a0d3c9c2507ad443fcc534ba99d6ab6aa6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnerof Sinner, Zverev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f2c…6998backed Zverev | 5c | 1,537$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Sinner | 73c | 999.96$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 345 | 55.1%190 W · 155 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Zverev | 27c | 983.2$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.87 | 263 | 55.1%145 W · 118 L | +36.9wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sinner | 78c | 931.45$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.48 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Zverev | 7c | 598.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Zverev | 27c | 402.38$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Sinner | 78c | 381.32$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.89 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Sinner | 67c | 275.29$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…c4c8backed Zverev | 45c | 264.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed Sinner | 67c | 252.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.52 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Zverev | 22c | 233.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…aa7cbacked Zverev | 27c | 199.44$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f82…b06cbacked Sinner | 72c | 196.17$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.93 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Zverev | 28c | 191.17$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b7…ed70backed Sinner | 69c | 180.77$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…2688backed Zverev | 27c | 155.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Zverev | 26c | 153.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 603 | 42%253 W · 350 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a40…f518backed Zverev | 41c | 138.9$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Zverev | 38c | 137.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 302 | 51.3%155 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Zverev | 26c | 135.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Zverev | 11c | 133.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Zverev | 30c | 130.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5807…74dcbacked Sinner | 74c | 114.86$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8091…6bf6backed Sinner | 69c | 98.71$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31f5…c806backed Zverev | 41c | 98.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Zverev | 17c | 96.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb80f…393fbacked Zverev | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f55…2181backed Zverev | 27c | 86.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf94…dfe2backed Zverev | 19c | 72.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…3f76backed Sinner | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Zverev | 22c | 66.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…fb88backed Sinner | 56c | 64.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…fdd8backed Zverev | 27c | 62.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Zverev | 18c | 60.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Zverev | 29c | 55.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d2…3aa0backed Zverev | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…8fe0backed Zverev | 36c | 50.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Zverev | 21c | 50.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Sinner | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8047…0b28backed Sinner | 74c | 47.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Zverev | 44c | 42.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Zverev | 35c | 39.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…0e5bbacked Sinner | 62c | 32.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…d1a7backed Sinner | 69c | 26.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…3378backed Sinner | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 4 Winner: Sinner vs Zverevthis page
- Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 2 Winner: Sinner vs ZverevSinner won
- Set 3 Winner: Sinner vs ZverevSinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)Sinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)Zverev won
- Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Sinner vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Sinner vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevJannik Sinner won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.