Tennis · resolved market
Set 3 Winner: Sinner vs Zverev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cafdc8b48204107e6517634593ddcc1784222f164889db0222b60b405a9f53d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnerof Sinner, Zverev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Zverev | 26c | 2,747$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.36 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…92e9backed Sinner | 73c | 2,210$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.68 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…d5f8backed Zverev | 34c | 1,624$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed Zverev | 30c | 1,450$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Sinner | 60c | 1,032$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.12 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Sinner | 70c | 999.98$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 345 | 55.1%190 W · 155 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…1ad7backed Sinner | 70c | 669.03$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.03 | 270 | 40%108 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Zverev | 51c | 641.29$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.16 | 390 | 46.4%181 W · 209 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sinner | 64c | 542.77$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.19 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f2…21febacked Zverev | 33c | 445.56$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Sinner | 73c | 401.13$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.72 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a5…4a10backed Zverev | 31c | 371.8$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.02 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55b7…ed70backed Sinner | 70c | 363.32$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed Sinner | 66c | 360.76$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.87 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf58e…a0b0backed Sinner | 74c | 345.27$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +272.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Sinner | 72c | 301$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.28 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…c4e1backed Sinner | 73c | 297.12$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked Zverev | 31c | 276.71$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Zverev | 31c | 244.76$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.88 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sinner | 67c | 233.91$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.29 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…c4c8backed Zverev | 31c | 192.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Sinner | 73c | 185.19$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Zverev | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sinner | 69c | 165.46$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.78 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Zverev | 41c | 154.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed Zverev | 30c | 150.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…6f86backed Sinner | 71c | 150.59$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7efc…f039backed Zverev | 26c | 147.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…d782backed Sinner | 74c | 143.96$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +13.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Sinner | 74c | 135.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65fe…c200backed Sinner | 75c | 134.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…9cc3backed Zverev | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Sinner | 66c | 98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…fb88backed Sinner | 64c | 97.81$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8091…6bf6backed Sinner | 66c | 91.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Zverev | 32c | 71.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…af40backed Sinner | 74c | 62.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1a…72f3backed Sinner | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Sinner | 67c | 52.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93d2…3aa0backed Zverev | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…e64abacked Sinner | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed Sinner | 63c | 48.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabe1…af91backed Sinner | 75c | 46.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2b…9edfbacked Sinner | 74c | 40.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…4fc2backed Sinner | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Zverev | 30c | 37.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5807…74dcbacked Zverev | 39c | 37.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…e501backed Zverev | 34c | 32.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked Sinner | 66c | 30.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Zverev | 51c | 29.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Sinner | 49c | 29.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…32a7backed Sinner | 73c | 26.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 163 | 72.4%118 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f55…2181backed Sinner | 73c | 24.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f7…e788backed Sinner | 74c | 21.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…d1a7backed Sinner | 73c | 20.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…3378backed Sinner | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed Sinner | 74c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 3 Winner: Sinner vs Zverevthis page
- Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 2 Winner: Sinner vs ZverevSinner won
- Set 4 Winner: Sinner vs ZverevSinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)Sinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)Zverev won
- Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Sinner vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Sinner vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevJannik Sinner won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.