Tennis · resolved market
Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe419e2c4bb2d4d2371ccb4a605958c97b81a2a2efefb1d383299d807d68fb763
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa678…bc50backed Under | 10c | 3,826$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.56 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +312.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 41c | 2,000$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.98 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…ca0ebacked Over | 58c | 1,317$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.1 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…94d6backed Over | 59c | 974.28$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.28 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…1581backed Under | 42c | 912.08$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5817…9e6cbacked Over | 58c | 841.83$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 43c | 699.99$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.99 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Under | 12c | 231$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Under | 42c | 199.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2f…65ecbacked Over | 58c | 194.83$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.42 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…60a2backed Over | 57c | 192.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Under | 43c | 192.98$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.98 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…ecdbbacked Over | 59c | 186.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 489 | 35.8%175 W · 314 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13dc…3d01backed Over | 58c | 182.43$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd798…9338backed Over | 59c | 170.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…c2c6backed Under | 41c | 168.16$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 41c | 165$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 41c | 149.57$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66bc…25c9backed Under | 14c | 124$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Under | 13c | 100.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…07c3backed Over | 60c | 100.37$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…2f81backed Over | 58c | 98.3$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0a…60f7backed Over | 58c | 92.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x279e…8f57backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0806…4adabacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 39c | 84.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 42c | 83.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 79.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471b…0f1abacked Under | 25c | 79.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc79c…73fbbacked Over | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x502c…728fbacked Over | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 40c | 65.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…dd7dbacked Over | 61c | 52.87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 40c | 51.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93cf…c08abacked Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 43c | 37.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…d343backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d3…cae1backed Under | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…a781backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…9406backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…29b1backed Over | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed Under | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 50c | 23.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad10…c665backed Over | 57c | 21.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5this page
- Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 2 Winner: Sinner vs ZverevSinner won
- Set 3 Winner: Sinner vs ZverevSinner won
- Set 4 Winner: Sinner vs ZverevSinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)Sinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)Zverev won
- Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Sinner vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Sinner vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevJannik Sinner won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.