TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Over 3.5of Over 3.5, Under 3.5
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,393
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,691

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,393 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under 3.541c11,067$4,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,538.781,14941.3%474 W · 675 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86f6…8993backed Over 3.560c8,391$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,390.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-66.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Over 3.558c7,833$4,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,289.8514252.8%75 W · 67 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under 3.541c6,168$2,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,512.422,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8b5abacked Over 3.561c6,033$3,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,373.61154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under 3.542c6,012$2,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,515.9758232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Over 3.558c5,172$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,172.4131146%143 W · 168 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under 3.541c4,759$1,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,973.0892237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under 3.541c3,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22028141.6%117 W · 164 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd7…8772backed Under 3.542c2,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Over 3.558c2,241$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.6129146%134 W · 157 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8f6…15fbbacked Under 3.542c2,087$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed Under 3.540c2,040$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8163036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ca…b27abacked Over 3.559c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8204100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Over 3.557c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.9925144.6%112 W · 139 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid0%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked Over 3.559c1,803$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.1360342%253 W · 350 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 3.542c1,502$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.357,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Over 3.558c1,448$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.7136440.9%149 W · 215 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f16…701dbacked Over 3.559c1,379$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.527938%30 W · 49 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Under 3.543c1,140$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4904143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0af1…1901backed Over 3.557c1,100$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.89837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-40.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under 3.540c1,098$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.338446.4%178 W · 206 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Under 3.539c1,082$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.841,07660.4%650 W · 426 L+24.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under 3.542c1,079$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.6552844.7%236 W · 292 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x624d…ff0abacked Over 3.558c1,053$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.441361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Under 3.538c1,022$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.091,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb775…36f5backed Over 3.565c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3504548.9%22 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x118c…3fffbacked Over 3.558c999.99$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked Over 3.558c999.98$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.998549.4%42 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb87…3d70backed Over 3.558c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.07616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-71.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Over 3.558c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.071145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1861…408dbacked Under 3.542c859.73$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.2444851.6%231 W · 217 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under 3.519c736.31$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.619,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under 3.541c700$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28752847%248 W · 280 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4214…4245backed Over 3.560c648.52$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.412157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under 3.539c600$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23467144.7%300 W · 371 L+30.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Under 3.542c599.99$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2527,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8e4…ff59backed Over 3.559c596.57$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.5714154.6%77 W · 64 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x559b…4959backed Under 3.533c521.9$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Under 3.543c511.63$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2209656.3%54 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d76…d7a0backed Over 3.558c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-43.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c1a…4ea6backed Under 3.543c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under 3.540c437.89$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.3272638.8%282 W · 444 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under 3.542c430$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.685250%426 W · 426 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under 3.536c400$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.594,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a10…7843backed Over 3.558c357.58$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.491850%9 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Under 3.514c349.29$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.996049.5%475 W · 485 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Over 3.560c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-54.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Under 3.511c297.54$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6826355.1%145 W · 118 L+36.9wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+25.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3f82…b06cbacked Under 3.542c285.71$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204955.1%27 W · 22 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over 3.559c277.85$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.928243.9%36 W · 46 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb116…c4e1backed Under 3.541c273.17$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-42.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…ef3abacked Over 3.561c269.98$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.49450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0afb…d23dbacked Over 3.558c266.95$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.121154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+82.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed Under 3.541c260.98$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10715839.9%63 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Over 3.558c260$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.28334.9%29 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Under 3.540c249.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Under 3.540c240$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0806…4adabacked Over 3.561c239.37$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8814652.7%77 W · 69 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1231…1c15backed Under 3.543c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under 3.541c228.55$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.848245.6%220 W · 262 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under 3.511c211.92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.311,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Under 3.542c211$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.67850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae6a…de5ebacked Over 3.567c208.96$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9624459.4%145 W · 99 L+21.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9aa1…36f6backed Over 3.563c202.99$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.844153.7%22 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a6c…f3eabacked Under 3.543c192.88$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed8…7559backed Under 3.543c190.25$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.81580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+66.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over 3.558c189.28$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.2886470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf595…fd9ebacked Over 3.558c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.416159%36 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf7a…c69fbacked Over 3.558c171.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x645b…893cbacked Over 3.559c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Over 3.559c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4933551.9%174 W · 161 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed Over 3.559c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.495545.5%25 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Over 3.560c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6741251%210 W · 202 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Under 3.542c155.59$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.351225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Over 3.557c149.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.56852.9%36 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bf8…5b60backed Over 3.567c149.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.411559.1%68 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd179…74adbacked Over 3.559c140.68$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6828756.1%161 W · 126 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc327…31f5backed Under 3.535c130.63$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.83250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e1f…7661backed Over 3.559c125.85$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.623352.8%123 W · 110 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60b1…8e7dbacked Under 3.543c120.78$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.949351.6%48 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb855…c1bebacked Over 3.580c120$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ba…089fbacked Under 3.542c117.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507742.9%33 W · 44 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa544…0c80backed Over 3.559c113.61$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Under 3.540c112.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a08…08b7backed Over 3.558c103.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb963…168ebacked Over 3.565c102.88$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.883100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8925…7bc4backed Over 3.559c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under 3.528c100.88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.141,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa8f…18adbacked Over 3.558c100.24$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x378c…14b8backed Over 3.570c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306841.2%28 W · 40 L-8.1wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-31.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb6a8…b1f7backed Over 3.559c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4128738.3%110 W · 177 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8cb…b294backed Under 3.540c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick36cpaid-73.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x27e1…e4fabacked Under 3.543c88.37$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x536d…07fdbacked Over 3.559c86.44$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4410456.7%59 W · 45 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd852…6fe9backed Over 3.558c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.217100%7 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7db…d23abacked Over 3.558c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.216556.9%37 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over 3.555c86.2$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.798749.4%43 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1be2…e4c7backed Over 3.559c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.752759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd3…9610backed Over 3.559c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.