TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe6ca…b27a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
131
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NFL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 59 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT4158.5%24 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Jets draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$18.2
Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$745.35
Rhamondre Stevenson: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+156.4%+$61
Will "Mahomes" be said at the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$213.12
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$513.23
Will Cameron Ward be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.09
Will Jaxson Dart be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.19
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+25.8%+$45.99
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$63
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+44.9%+$124
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$185
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13.47
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,290
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$470
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$180
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$87.5
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,026Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+77.6%+$796.19
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+122.2%+$275
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+43.2%+$224.41
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$629Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+138.5%+$871.02
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+156.4%+$341.51
Vikings vs. Giantsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+72.4%+$126
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+35.1%+$183.37
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$257.84
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.7
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$5,154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,153.68
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$29.48
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.11
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,723Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$670.04
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$3,350
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$437.95
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.48
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.51
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$310
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,880
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,680Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,320
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$414
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,235Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+250.3%+$5,594.67
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,470Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$895.93
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,733Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$1,660.45
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,901Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,901.25
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+300%+$143.25
Jazz vs. Lakersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.56
All 21 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.34
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,410Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$2,463.18
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$4,592Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+189.7%+$8,712.65
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.02
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$571.39
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+233.3%+$150.5
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$195.73
Trove FDV above $10M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$153.59
Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$704Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+33.3%+$234.75
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,089Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+30.1%+$628.17
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+185.7%+$944.72
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$99.08
Lighter FDV above $6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Lighter FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$598.54
Lighter FDV above $5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$24.55
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$220.33
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,861Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+62.8%+$3,053.35
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$84.02
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$37.84
Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$204.29
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-42.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$424.97
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,982Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$898.96
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.26
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,653Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,653.47
South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Connecticut Huskies (W)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,406Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,406.21
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.96
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,625Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,340.69
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.79
All 8 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-48.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-76.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-47%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,051Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$448.74
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
All 3 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,249.71
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,522Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,522.22
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,662Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+107.7%+$2,866.13
All 3 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.